Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.49
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
84% (380/452)85% (432/506)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.80
Total shots
412
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
17
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1227
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
84% (380/452)85% (432/506)
Long passes
53% (21/40)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
68% (75/110)76% (119/157)
Crosses
19% (3/16)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.88
Throw-ins
148
Fouls
1810
Tackles
61% (11/18)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
2927
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.800.34
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Ayala D. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Rusnak A. , Musovski D. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 34', Miller K. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Moreno S. , Pereira da Costa D. (A), Mosquera J. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Miller K. , Zuparic D. ,
  • 46', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 50', Nouhou 🟨,
  • 67', Antony , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 71', Ferreira J. , de La Vega P. ,
  • 71', Kent R. , Rothrock P. ,
  • 78', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,
  • 81', Musovski D. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 90+1', Fory J. , Bravo C. ,
  • 90+1', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
34%
Draw
26.5%
Seattle Sounders
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 25.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.4% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Timbers's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.23)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    2.42
    (2.78)
    4.9%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Seattle will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Fory J. (Leg Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Morris J. (Hamstring Injury) Ragen J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Araujo M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 1:1
    31.08.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:0
    12.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    02.09.2023 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 2:2
    03.06.2023 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 0:0
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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