Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - New England Revolution
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Portland Timbers - New England Revolution - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.33
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2728
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
96
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Long passes
50% (26/52)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
77% (102/133)76% (94/124)
Crosses
11% (2/19)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.34
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
69
Tackles
78% (7/9)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.330.93
Goals prevented
0.33-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Smith I. , Moreno S. (A), Kelsy K. (A2)
  • 35', 1 - 1, Langoni L. , Gil C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Miller K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 71', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 71', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. ,
  • 74', Langoni L. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', Bye B. , Diaz L. ,
  • 83', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 83', Smith I. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
45%
Draw
25.2%
New England Revolution
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Portland Timbers - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.96)
    3.77
    (3.8)
    3.19
    (3.59)
    5.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). New England will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Fory J. (Yellow Cards) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Bono A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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