Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - New England Revolution
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Portland Timbers - New England Revolution - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.33
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2728
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
96
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Long passes
50% (26/52)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
77% (102/133)76% (94/124)
Crosses
11% (2/19)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.34
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
69
Tackles
78% (7/9)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.330.93
Goals prevented
0.33-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Smith I. , Moreno S. (A), Kelsy K. (A2)
  • 35', 1 - 1, Langoni L. , Gil C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Miller K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 71', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 71', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. ,
  • 74', Langoni L. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', Bye B. , Diaz L. ,
  • 83', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 83', Smith I. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
45%
Draw
25.2%
New England Revolution
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Portland Timbers - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.96)
    3.77
    (3.8)
    3.19
    (3.59)
    5.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). New England will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Fory J. (Yellow Cards) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Bono A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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