Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2
Result
4:1
28/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.17
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
87% (363/416)83% (337/408)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.030.47
Total shots
185
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
80
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
914
Passes
87% (363/416)83% (337/408)
Long passes
67% (35/52)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
75% (85/114)55% (39/71)
Crosses
22% (4/18)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.13
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
149
Tackles
92% (12/13)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3132
Clearances
514
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.473.03
Goals prevented
-0.530.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mesalles R. , Wolff T. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, Wolff T. , Anderson O. (A),
  • 36', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 45', Henry K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Anderson O. , O'Gara L. ,
  • 46', Nunez D. , Revaldo R. ,
  • 46', Santos N. , Bunbury M. ,
  • 51', Campaz B. , Riquelme A. ,
  • 54', 3 - 0, Wolff T. , Dillon G. (A),
  • 55', Smith I. , Pope B. ,
  • 58', Bunbury M. 🟨,
  • 66', Enriquez V. , Eisenberg M. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Bunbury M. ,
  • 74', Berrios D. 🟨,
  • 75', Barea J. , Touray O. ,
  • 75', Mesalles R. , Farnsworth Z. ,
  • 80', Berrios D. , Amparo I. ,
  • 80', Johnston M. , Iziota E. ,
  • 85', Touray O. 🟨,
  • 87', Kerkvliet M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Touray O. , Wolff T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
62.7%
Draw
20.7%
Portland Timbers 2
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 24% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 24% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.75)
    4.42
    (3.8)
    5.48
    (3.81)
    9.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
    • Real Monarchs is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portland 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portland 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real Monarchs is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:23. (average 2.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:7. (average 2.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 2:3
    29.09.2024 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 2:0
    14.07.2024 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 1:2
    15.03.2024 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 1:0
    24.09.2023 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Portland Timbers 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    2New York City II14521627:3020
    3New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    4Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    5Chicago Fire II11501422:2117
    6Toronto FC II12403512:1715
    7Cincinnati 21113079:189
    8Columbus Crew 210202610:208


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2Orlando City B12610519:2320
    3Huntsville11431323:1319
    4Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    5Inter Miami II13402722:2914
    6Atlanta United 212224419:2214
    7Carolina Core10223316:1513


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County12710423:1923
    2Town FC10511322:1018
    3Tacoma Defiance11510526:2417
    4Los Angeles FC II11411519:2215
    5Portland Timbers 212411619:2715
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 212330625:2415
    7Real Monarchs9313218:1514


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    2Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    3North Texas12611420:2321
    4Houston Dynamo 212530419:1521
    5Minnesota 29402316:1214
    6Austin FC II1122349:1313
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    3Orlando City B12610519:2320
    4New York City II14521627:3020
    5Huntsville11431323:1319
    6New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    7Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    8Chicago Fire II11501422:2117
    9Toronto FC II12403512:1715
    10Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    11Inter Miami II13402722:2914
    12Atlanta United 212224419:2214
    13Carolina Core10223316:1513
    14Cincinnati 21113079:189
    15Columbus Crew 210202610:208


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County12710423:1923
    2St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    3Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    4North Texas12611420:2321
    5Houston Dynamo 212530419:1521
    6Town FC10511322:1018
    7Tacoma Defiance11510526:2417
    8Los Angeles FC II11411519:2215
    9Portland Timbers 212411619:2715
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 212330625:2415
    11Minnesota 29402316:1214
    12Real Monarchs9313218:1514
    13Austin FC II1122349:1313
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

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