Reading vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League One Reading - Port Vale
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 6
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Reading - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.01
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
78% (304/388)77% (305/395)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.59
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
78% (304/388)77% (305/395)
Long passes
36% (23/64)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
58% (60/104)66% (66/100)
Crosses
17% (1/6)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.73
Throw-ins
3424
Fouls
1212
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4662
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.591.37
Goals prevented
0.590.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+6', Jacob M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Heneghan B. 🟨,
  • 56', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 56', Croasdale R. , Ojo F. ,
  • 57', Faal M. , Brown D. ,
  • 62', O'Mahony M. , Marriott J. ,
  • 62', Elliott B. , Doyle K. ,
  • 63', Clark M. , Kyle John ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Lane P. , Kyerewaa D. (A),
  • 71', Heneghan B. , Waine B. ,
  • 71', Byers G. , Shipley J. ,
  • 74', Lane P. , Camara M. ,
  • 74', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 81', Ahmed A. , Dorsett A. J. R. ,
  • 82', Savage C. , Fraser L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
38.9%
Draw
28%
Port Vale
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.2% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 27% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Port Vale aligns with the current prediction.
  • Reading - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.38)
    3.32
    (3.47)
    2.86
    (2.85)
    6.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Reading - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Rushesha T. (Injury) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Port Vale were as follows:
    20.02.2024 Reading - Port Vale 2:0
    12.08.2023 Port Vale - Reading 1:0
    Latest results of Reading
    26.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    20.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Reading 1:1
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    12.08.2025 Portsmouth - Reading 1:2
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1252510:11-117
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Rotherham1242612:16-414
    17Wycombe1334615:16-113
    18Port Vale1334611:12-113
    19Exeter1341812:14-213
    20Plymouth1241717:21-413
    21Burton1233610:16-612
    22Reading1225513:18-511
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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