Birmingham City vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Birmingham City - Port Vale
Result
0:1
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Birmingham City - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.83
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
83% (467/560)66% (156/235)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.012.63
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
813
Passes
83% (467/560)66% (156/235)
Long passes
38% (18/48)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
68% (108/158)56% (29/52)
Crosses
9% (3/34)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.08
Throw-ins
3424
Fouls
148
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
1948
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.630.01
Goals prevented
1.630.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Neumann P. 🟨,
  • 39', Leonard M. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Headley J. , Croasdale R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Humphreys C. , Kyle John ,
  • 46', Ducksch M. , Stansfield J. ,
  • 46', Fujimoto K. , Paik Seung-Ho ,
  • 46', Sampsted A. , Cochrane A. ,
  • 57', Faal M. , Paton R. ,
  • 61', Doyle T. 🟨,
  • 67', Dykes L. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 69', Lawrence-Gabriel J. , Clark M. ,
  • 77', Headley J. , Garrity B. ,
  • 77', Doyle T. , Laird E. ,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
67%
Draw
20.4%
Port Vale
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 18.2% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 17.5% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Birmingham City - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.35)
    4.64
    (5.2)
    7.57
    (8.04)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Port Vale?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1.25 - Port Vale (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH 0, 1st Half - Birmingham (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Birmingham City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Port Vale (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Birmingham is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Port Vale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Paton R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Port Vale were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Port Vale - Birmingham City 0:2
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1Crystal PalaceBye
    3Stockport CountyDoncaster1 : 2
    4MiddlesbroughWrexham1 : 0
    5Manchester UtdBye
    8ByeBrighton
    9Manchester CityBye
    11CardiffSwindon3 : 2
    12NorwichMK Dons4 : 1
    13SunderlandBye
    15StokeOldham2 : 0
    16ByeHull
    17PlymouthExeter2 : 0
    18ByeCoventry
    20ByeAston Villa
    21ChelseaBye
    22GillinghamLuton0 : 3
    23NottinghamBye
    24ByeLeeds
    25IpswichBye
    26LeicesterNorthampton1 : 0
    28ByeArsenal
    29ColchesterSouthampton0 : 2
    30West HamPortsmouth3 : 1
    31FulhamBye
    32AFC WimbledonNewport2 : 1
    33BournemouthBye
    35GrimsbyBlackpool1 : 3
    36DerbyLincoln1 : 2
    37LiverpoolBye
    39TottenhamBye
    40CheltenhamCharlton1 : 3
    41Cambridge UtdBarnet2 : 1
    42QPRMillwall1 : 2
    43NewcastleBye
    44RotherhamWest Brom1 : 4
    45FleetwoodChesterfield1 : 0
    46SalfordShrewsbury1 : 2
    47BurtonBlackburn1 : 2
    48MansfieldSheffield Utd0 : 3
    49PrestonHuddersfield2 : 1
    50ByeEverton
    51Sheffield WedBolton1 : 0
    52WolvesPort Vale3 : 0
    53Bristol CityWalsall0 : 1
    54Leyton OrientOxford Utd2 : 0
    55Bradford CityRochdale2 : 0
    56BurnleyNotts County2 : 1
    57WycombeStevenage1 : 2
    58BromleyReading1 : 2
    59SwanseaBirmingham0 : 1
    60ByeBrentford
    61WatfordCrawley1 : 0
    62Bristol RoversPeterborough0 : 1
    63BarnsleyWigan2 : 1
    64CreweAccrington2 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1Crystal PalaceBye
    2DoncasterMiddlesbrough1 : 3
    3Manchester UtdBye
    4ByeBrighton
    5Manchester CityBye
    6CardiffNorwich1 : 2
    7SunderlandBye
    8StokeHull1 : 2
    9PlymouthCoventry2 : 4
    10ByeAston Villa
    11ChelseaLuton2 : 0
    12NottinghamLeeds0 : 2
    13IpswichLeicester3 : 1
    14ByeArsenal
    15SouthamptonWest Ham1 : 4
    16FulhamAFC Wimbledon3 : 0
    17BournemouthBye
    18BlackpoolLincoln1 : 4
    19LiverpoolBye
    20TottenhamCharlton5 : 1
    21Cambridge UtdMillwall0 : 1
    22NewcastleWest Brom3 : 2
    23FleetwoodShrewsbury4 : 0
    24BlackburnSheffield Utd1 : 2
    25PrestonEverton0 : 4
    26Sheffield WedWolves0 : 2
    27WalsallLeyton Orient0 : 1
    28Bradford CityBurnley1 : 0
    29StevenageReading0 : 3
    30BirminghamBrentford1 : 6
    31WatfordPeterborough1 : 5
    32BarnsleyCrewe3 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
    2Manchester UtdBrighton
    3Manchester CityNorwich
    4SunderlandHull
    5CoventryAston Villa
    6ChelseaLeeds
    7IpswichArsenal
    8West HamFulham
    9BournemouthLincoln
    10LiverpoolTottenham
    11MillwallNewcastle
    12FleetwoodSheffield Utd
    13EvertonWolves
    14Leyton OrientBradford City
    15ReadingBrentford
    16PeterboroughBarnsley
    Which TV channels are streaming of Birmingham City - Port Vale?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
    usaUsaParamount+
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