Port Vale vs Leyton Orient: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Port Vale - Leyton Orient
Result
2:3
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 7
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Port Vale - Leyton Orient - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.39
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
68% (214/316)79% (349/442)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.531.50
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
67
Passes
68% (214/316)79% (349/442)
Long passes
32% (18/56)26% (17/66)
Passes in final third
53% (65/122)66% (63/95)
Crosses
30% (7/23)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.87
Throw-ins
3722
Fouls
76
Tackles
55% (12/22)75% (9/12)
Duels won
6356
Clearances
1440
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.502.53
Goals prevented
-1.500.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Croasdale R. , Cole D. (A),
  • 9', Hall C. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Connolly A. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Ballard D. , Koroma J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Faal M. , Paton R. ,
  • 46', Byers G. , Ojo F. ,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Cole D. ,
  • 53', Beckles O. 🟨,
  • 59', James T. , Edmonds-Green R. ,
  • 59', Beckles O. , Simpson J. ,
  • 64', O'Neill O. 🟨,
  • 69', O'Neill O. , Mitchell D. ,
  • 69', Moorhouse J. , Clare S. ,
  • 70', Cole D. , Brown D. ,
  • 76', Headley J. , Gordon L. ,
  • 78', Kyle John , Clark M. ,
  • 79', Ballard D. , Wellens C. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Clare S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Wellens C. , Koroma J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
44.9%
Draw
27.4%
Leyton Orient
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 26.8% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 26.5% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Port Vale - Leyton Orient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.26)
    3.51
    (3.52)
    3.59
    (3.02)
    3.2%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Port Vale - Leyton Orient?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Port Vale is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Obiero Z. (Knee Injury) Wellens C. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Leyton Orient were as follows:
    12.03.2024 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:0
    06.02.2024 Port Vale - Leyton Orient 0:1
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City962117:11620
    2Stevenage861112:6619
    3Lincoln953114:9518
    4Cardiff852113:5817
    5Huddersfield951315:11416
    6Barnsley851214:10416
    7Doncaster951310:10016
    8Stockport County943214:12215
    9AFC Wimbledon950412:11115
    10Bolton935114:8614
    11Luton840411:9212
    12Wigan933314:13112
    13Mansfield932413:12111
    14Leyton Orient932411:15-411
    15Northampton83145:8-310
    16Exeter930610:11-19
    17Plymouth930611:18-79
    18Wycombe922510:11-18
    19Port Vale92258:10-28
    20Reading82249:13-48
    21Rotherham82156:11-57
    22Blackpool82158:14-67
    23Peterborough92167:15-87
    24Burton71245:10-55

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Which TV channels are streaming of Port Vale - Leyton Orient?
    It is being streamed on channel
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