Result
3:2
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 43
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Carlisle United - Port Vale live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (251/356) | 61% (177/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 3.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (251/356) | 61% (177/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (25/80) | 34% (27/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (99/154) | 47% (48/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 83 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.12 | -1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Kelly G. ⚽, Fusire S. (A),
- 43', 2 - 0, Dennis M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Walters R. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
- 46', Shorrock J. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 0, Hayden A. ⚽,
- 61', 3 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Garrity B. (A),
- 68', Byers G. 🟨,
- 70', 3 - 2, Hart S. ⚽,
- 77', Garrity B. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
- 79', Wearne S. 🟨,
- 84', Fusire S. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
- 85', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 85', Dennis M. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 86', Hayden A. 🟨,
- 87', Hall C. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
- 90', Wearne S. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
- 90+2', Thomas T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tolaj L. (Pen),
- 90+4', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Barclay B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
24.6% | Draw
27.2% | Port Vale
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Vale's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carlisle United - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.82 ↑
(2.82) |
3.46 ↑
(3.31) |
1.95 ↓
(2.41) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Port Vale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
- Recent matches Carlisle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Port Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A.
(Injury)
Dummett P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
Sang T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Headley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Port Vale?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Carlisle United?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Port Vale were as follows:
21.12.2024
Port Vale
-
Carlisle United
0:0
01.01.2024
Carlisle United
-
Port Vale
2:1
26.08.2023
Port Vale
-
Carlisle United
1:0
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Port Vale
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Bromley | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Crewe | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Swindon | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Walsall | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Salford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Notts Co | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 | Harrogate | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Barnet | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Colchester | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | Barrow | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Oldham | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Newport | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 21 | Accrington | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Crawley | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 2 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Which TV channels are streaming of Carlisle United - Port Vale?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
