Carlisle United vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Carlisle United - Port Vale
Result
3:2
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 43
  • Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Carlisle United - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Carlisle United - Port Vale live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.042.94
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
71% (251/356)61% (177/292)
Yellow Cards
61
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.042.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.753.12
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2633
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
71% (251/356)61% (177/292)
Long passes
31% (25/80)34% (27/79)
Passes in final third
64% (99/154)47% (48/103)
Crosses
24% (6/25)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.96
Fouls
1410
Tackles
64% (9/14)44% (7/16)
Duels won
5383
Clearances Total
5043
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
3.121.75
Goals prevented
1.12-1.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Kelly G. , Fusire S. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 0, Dennis M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Walters R. , Byers G. ,
  • 46', Shorrock J. , Hart S. ,
  • 49', 3 - 0, Hayden A. ,
  • 61', 3 - 1, Stockley J. , Garrity B. (A),
  • 68', Byers G. 🟨,
  • 70', 3 - 2, Hart S. ,
  • 77', Garrity B. , Curtis R. ,
  • 79', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 84', Fusire S. , Guy C. ,
  • 85', Dennis M. 🟨,
  • 85', Dennis M. , Hugill J. ,
  • 86', Hayden A. 🟨,
  • 87', Hall C. , Richards R. ,
  • 90', Wearne S. , Vela J. ,
  • 90+2', Thomas T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Tolaj L. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Dennis M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Barclay B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
24.6%
Draw
27.2%
Port Vale
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 28.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 28.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Vale's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlisle United - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.82
    (2.82)
    3.46
    (3.31)
    1.95
    (2.41)
    6.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Port Vale?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Port Vale will win! (4 of 5 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
    • Recent matches Carlisle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Port Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A. (Injury) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive) Sang T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Port Vale were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Port Vale - Carlisle United 0:0
    01.01.2024 Carlisle United - Port Vale 2:1
    26.08.2023 Port Vale - Carlisle United 1:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Port Vale
    12.04.2025 Port Vale - Bromley 5:0
    05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3
    01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0
    25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Walsall (4)Chesterfield (7)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2AFC Wimbledon (5)Notts Co (6)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Walsall (4)AFC Wimbledon (5)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Carlisle United - Port Vale?
    It is being streamed on channel
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan