Morecambe vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English National League
Result
2:2
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : National League - Round 43
Morecambe - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
24
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
69
Corner kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Gilliead A. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Edwards G. ⚽, Lewis P. (A),
  • 45+2', Galvin R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Lewis P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Linney R. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
  • 64', Songo'o Y. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Breeze G. (A),
  • 71', Kelly G. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
  • 75', Lewis P. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
  • 75', Popov C. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Macadam H. (Own goal),
  • 85', Wyke Ch. 🟨,
  • 85', Azeez M. 🟨,
  • 90', Edwards G. ↓, Conte R. ↑,
  • 90', Linney R. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
  • 90', Wearne S. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,

Chances of winning


Morecambe
24.9%		Draw
23.6%		Carlisle United
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 22.7% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 22.2% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Morecambe - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.7 ↑
    (3.62)    		 3.93 ↓
    (4.1)    		 1.81 ↑
    (1.8)    		 7.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Morecambe - Carlisle United?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1.
    • Morecambe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carlisle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Carlisle is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Carlisle United were as follows:
    30.12.2025 Carlisle United - Morecambe 1:0
    12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2
    26.12.2024 Carlisle United - Morecambe 0:1
    12.11.2024 Morecambe - Carlisle United 1:2
    Latest results of Morecambe
    03.04.2026 Rochdale - Morecambe 2:4 ✺
    28.03.2026 Morecambe - Aldershot Town 0:2 ✺
    25.03.2026 Morecambe - Hartlepool United 2:3 ✺
    21.03.2026 Yeovil Town - Morecambe 3:2
    14.03.2026 Morecambe - Braintree Town 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    03.04.2026 Carlisle United - Gateshead 0:0
    28.03.2026 Braintree Town - Carlisle United 1:2 ✺
    24.03.2026 Halifax Town - Carlisle United 0:1 ✺
    21.03.2026 Carlisle United - Boston United 6:2
    14.03.2026 Tamworth - Carlisle United 2:1
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City443284110:4070104
    2Rochdale44326685:3946102
    3Carlisle44278983:513289
    4Boreham Wood442591091:583384
    5Scunthorpe442312976:601681
    6Forest Green4422121076:502678
    7Southend4220121070:403072
    8FC Halifax4419101566:60667
    9Hartlepool4316141347:52-562
    10Woking4315141466:531359
    11Tamworth4416101857:69-1258
    12Wealdstone431591964:70-654
    13Solihull Moors4313131767:68-152
    14Boston Utd4313131756:65-952
    15Altrincham441562350:63-1351
    16Yeovil441562347:61-1451
    17Gateshead441482253:84-3150
    18Sutton4411141958:76-1847
    19Aldershot431372368:81-1346
    20Eastleigh4412102255:79-2446
    21Brackley Town ✔ 449122338:71-3339
    22Morecambe ✔ 449112466:95-2938
    23Braintree ✔ 448122436:69-3336
    24Truro ✔ 447102740:71-3131

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Brackley Town is Relegated to
    Morecambe is Relegated to
    Braintree is Relegated to
    Truro is Relegated to
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