Netherlands vs Poland, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer FIFA World Cup Netherlands - Poland
Result
1:1
04/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Championship - Qualification
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Netherlands - Poland - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.39
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
94% (670/715)76% (183/240)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.350.53
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
94% (670/715)76% (183/240)
Long passes
75% (15/20)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
85% (168/197)59% (24/41)
Crosses
25% (5/20)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.30
Throw-ins
179
Fouls
1111
Tackles
77% (10/13)29% (6/21)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
1432
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.532.35
Goals prevented
-0.471.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Dumfries D. , Depay M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', Lewandowski R. , Swiderski K. ,
  • 71', Szymanski S. , Grosicki K. ,
  • 71', Zalewski N. , Wszolek P. ,
  • 71', Zielinski P. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 78', Depay M. , Weghorst W. ,
  • 78', Simons X. , Malen D. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Cash M. ,
  • 83', Wisniewski P. , Kedziora T. ,
  • 83', de Jong F. , Timber Q. ,
  • 83', Reijnders T. , Kluivert J. ,
  • 87', van Hecke J. P. , de Vrij S. ,

Chances of winning


Netherlands
73.9%
Draw
17%
Poland
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.4% 17.6% 8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Netherlands - Poland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.28)
    5.61
    (5.4)
    10.73
    (11.97)
    4.9%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Netherlands - Poland?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 49 - 90.7%). Poland will win (votes: 3 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 83%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Netherlands (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -1.75 - Netherlands (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 4.
    • In this match, Netherlands is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Netherlands: Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Poland: Moder J. (Knock) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Netherlands - Poland were as follows:
    16.06.2024 Poland - Netherlands 1:2
    22.09.2022 Poland - Netherlands 0:2
    Latest results of Netherlands
    10.06.2025 Netherlands - Malta 8:0
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    23.03.2025 Spain - Netherlands 4:3
    20.03.2025 Netherlands - Spain 2:2
    Latest results of Poland
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    06.06.2025 Poland - Moldova 2:0
    24.03.2025 Poland - Malta 2:0
    21.03.2025 Poland - Lithuania 1:0
    18.11.2024 Poland - Scotland 1:2
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina ✔ 17122331:92238
    2Brazil ✔ 1784524:16828
    3Uruguay ✔ 1776422:121027
    4Ecuador ✔ 1778213:5826
    5Colombia ✔ 1767422:15725
    6Paraguay ✔ 1767413:10325
    7Venezuela1746715:22-718
    8Bolivia17521016:35-1917
    9Peru172696:20-1412
    10Chile1724119:27-1810

          Promotion ~ World Championship
          Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Argentina is Qualified for World Championship
    Brazil is Qualified for World Championship
    Uruguay is Qualified for World Championship
    Ecuador is Qualified for World Championship
    Colombia is Qualified for World Championship
    Paraguay is Qualified for World Championship
    Which TV channels are streaming of Netherlands - Poland?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 2, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
    hungaryHungaryArena 4
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    indonesiaIndonesiaMNC Soccer Channel
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeyExxen
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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