Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdańsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Cup Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk
Result
2:1 penalties
24/09/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/32-finals
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Skowronski G. 🟨,
  • 39', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
  • 41', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, D'Arrigo L. ,
  • 55', Buletsa S. 🟨,
  • 59', Skowronski G. , Noiszewski K. ,
  • 59', Korczakowski I. , Jaron D. ,
  • 59', Sommerfeld K. , Bahonko E. ,
  • 61', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 64', D'Arrigo L. 🟨,
  • 66', Niski N. , Niewiadomski J. ,
  • 67', Sezonienko K. , Tsarenko A. ,
  • 67', Buletsa S. , Zhelizko I. ,
  • 76', D'Arrigo L. , Pllana B. ,
  • 76', Wendt K. , Kapic R. ,
  • 81', Jaron D. 🟨,
  • 82', Gueho L. 🟨,
  • 83', Sarnavskyi B. 🟨,
  • 90', Kapic R. 🟨,
  • 90', Neugebauer T. , Kardas A. ,
  • 90+2', Odolak K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Noiszewski K. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 102', Dziegielewski D. , Urbanski P. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Kapic R. (Pen),
  • 1, Jaron D. (Pen),
  • 2, Zhelizko I. (Pen),
  • 2, Los K. (Pen),
  • 3, Pllana B. (Pen),
  • 3, Dias M. (Pen),
  • 4, Gueho L. (Pen),
  • 4, Noiszewski K. (Pen),
  • 5, Viunnyk B. (Pen),
  • 5, Niewiadomski J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
24.4%
Draw
23.6%
Lechia Gdańsk
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16% 22.1% 61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1% 25.1% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.
  • Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Gdańsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Gdańsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (5.8)
    3.87
    (4.2)
    1.76
    (1.5)
    9.5%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lechia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    2Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    3LegnicaBye
    4ByePogon Siedlce
    5Avia SwidnikBye
    6ByeRuch Chorzow
    7SwinoujscieBye
    8KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    9Gryf SlupskBye
    10ByePolonia Warszawa
    11S. RzeszowBye
    12ByeKorona Kielce
    13T. MazowieckiBye
    14ByeSlask Wroclaw
    15LKS LomzaBye
    16ByeOdra Opole
    17Legia IIBye
    18ByeGornik Zabrze
    19OzimekBye
    20ByePruszkow
    21LecznaBye
    22ByeCracovia
    23Korona Kielce IIBye
    24ByePiast Gliwice
    25SrodaBye
    26KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    27Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    28ByeWisla
    29Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    30ByeLechia Gdansk
    31Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    32ByePogon Szczecin
    33Legnica IIBye
    34Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    35Arka GdyniaBye
    36ByeMotor Lublin
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39WikielecBye
    40PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    41Radomiak RadomBye
    42ByeZaglebie
    43ZawiszaBye
    44ByeTychy
    45Termalica B-B.Bye
    46ByeWidzew Lodz
    47AndrychowBye
    48ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    49Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    50Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LKS LodzBye
    54ByeChrobry Glogow
    55Stal MielecBye
    56ByePuszcza

    1/32-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow
    2LegnicaPogon Siedlce
    3Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow
    4SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie
    5Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa
    6S. RzeszowKorona Kielce
    7T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw
    8LKS LomzaOdra Opole
    9Legia IIGornik Zabrze
    10OzimekPruszkow
    11LecznaCracovia
    12Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice
    13SrodaOl. Grudziadz
    14Bytom OdrzanskiWisla
    15Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk
    16Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    17Legnica IISwit Szczecin
    18Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola
    20WikielecPodbeskidzie
    21Radomiak RadomZaglebie
    22ZawiszaTychy
    23Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz
    24AndrychowChojniczanka
    25Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock
    27LKS LodzChrobry Glogow
    28Stal MielecPuszcza
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