Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC
Result
1:1
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.44
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
77% (290/377)75% (293/392)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.361.49
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2319
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
816
Passes
77% (290/377)75% (293/392)
Long passes
46% (22/48)43% (33/76)
Passes in final third
70% (84/120)50% (46/92)
Crosses
33% (7/21)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.65
Throw-ins
2717
Fouls
168
Tackles
61% (14/23)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4745
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.491.36
Goals prevented
0.490.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Vassilev I. , Baribo T. (A),
  • 29', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Petretta R. 🟨,
  • 59', Coello A. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 64', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 67', Damiani B. , Uhre M. ,
  • 67', Baribo T. , Iloski M. ,
  • 76', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. , Henry M. ,
  • 79', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 80', Kerr D. 🟨,
  • 81', Bueno J. , Lukic J. ,
  • 88', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,
  • 88', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Kerr D. , Henry M. (A),
  • 90+6', Mihailovic D. , Etienne D. ,
  • 90+6', Petretta R. , Thompson K. ,
  • 90+10', Thompson K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
68.7%
Draw
19.1%
Toronto FC
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 20.8% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 20.3% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.45)
    4.96
    (4.56)
    7.7
    (6.8)
    5.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Philadelphia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Head Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    13.07.2024 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    29.05.2024 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.08.2023 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    22.04.2023 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 4:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1
    03.07.2025 New York City - Toronto FC 3:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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