Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC
Result
1:1
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.44
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
77% (290/377)75% (293/392)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.361.49
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2319
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
816
Passes
77% (290/377)75% (293/392)
Long passes
46% (22/48)43% (33/76)
Passes in final third
70% (84/120)50% (46/92)
Crosses
33% (7/21)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.65
Throw-ins
2717
Fouls
168
Tackles
61% (14/23)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4745
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.491.36
Goals prevented
0.490.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Vassilev I. , Baribo T. (A),
  • 29', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Petretta R. 🟨,
  • 59', Coello A. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 64', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 67', Damiani B. , Uhre M. ,
  • 67', Baribo T. , Iloski M. ,
  • 76', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. , Henry M. ,
  • 79', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 80', Kerr D. 🟨,
  • 81', Bueno J. , Lukic J. ,
  • 88', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,
  • 88', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Kerr D. , Henry M. (A),
  • 90+6', Mihailovic D. , Etienne D. ,
  • 90+6', Petretta R. , Thompson K. ,
  • 90+10', Thompson K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
68.7%
Draw
19.1%
Toronto FC
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 20.8% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 20.3% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.45)
    4.96
    (4.56)
    7.7
    (6.8)
    5.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Philadelphia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Head Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    13.07.2024 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    29.05.2024 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.08.2023 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    22.04.2023 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 4:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1
    03.07.2025 New York City - Toronto FC 3:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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