Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire
Result
4:0
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.20
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
237
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
85% (388/456)82% (353/428)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.34
Total shots
237
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
125
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
85% (388/456)82% (353/428)
Long passes
58% (26/45)56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
77% (128/166)68% (47/69)
Crosses
35% (7/20)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.32
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1610
Tackles
64% (14/22)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6052
Clearances
2030
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.341.93
Goals prevented
0.34-2.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Baribo T. , Wagner K. (A), Sullivan Q. (A2)
  • 37', Lukic J. 🟨,
  • 38', Barroso L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 57', Oregel S. 🟨,
  • 59', Baribo T. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Wagner K. , Iloski M. (A),
  • 66', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 69', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 69', D'Avilla D. , Franco A. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 74', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,
  • 74', Damiani B. , Uhre M. ,
  • 75', Oregel S. , Acosta K. ,
  • 75', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 79', Baribo T. , Donovan C. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Iloski M. ,
  • 84', Lukic J. , Rafanello J. ,
  • 84', Iloski M. , Bedoya A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
53.9%
Draw
23%
Chicago Fire
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 22.2% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 21.8% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.81)
    4.1
    (4.28)
    4.09
    (3.73)
    5.6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Philadelphia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Health problems) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:31. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:1
    03.07.2024 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 4:3
    24.02.2024 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 2:2
    15.04.2023 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 2:2
    11.03.2023 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 1:0
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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