Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire
Result
4:0
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.20
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
237
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
85% (388/456)82% (353/428)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.34
Total shots
237
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
125
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
85% (388/456)82% (353/428)
Long passes
58% (26/45)56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
77% (128/166)68% (47/69)
Crosses
35% (7/20)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.32
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1610
Tackles
64% (14/22)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6052
Clearances
2030
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.341.93
Goals prevented
0.34-2.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Baribo T. , Wagner K. (A), Sullivan Q. (A2)
  • 37', Lukic J. 🟨,
  • 38', Barroso L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 57', Oregel S. 🟨,
  • 59', Baribo T. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Wagner K. , Iloski M. (A),
  • 66', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 69', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 69', D'Avilla D. , Franco A. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 74', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,
  • 74', Damiani B. , Uhre M. ,
  • 75', Oregel S. , Acosta K. ,
  • 75', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 79', Baribo T. , Donovan C. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Iloski M. ,
  • 84', Lukic J. , Rafanello J. ,
  • 84', Iloski M. , Bedoya A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
53.9%
Draw
23%
Chicago Fire
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 22.2% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 21.8% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.81)
    4.1
    (4.28)
    4.09
    (3.73)
    5.6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Philadelphia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Health problems) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:31. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:1
    03.07.2024 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 4:3
    24.02.2024 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 2:2
    15.04.2023 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 2:2
    11.03.2023 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 1:0
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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