Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Atlanta United
40.7%
Draw
25.8%
Philadelphia Union
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 26.4% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 26.3% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.81)
    3.67
    (3.56)
    2.81
    (2.34)
    5.2%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Atlanta United will win! (12 of 13 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • Atlanta has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Philadelphia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:0
    28.09.2024 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 1:1
    14.04.2024 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2:2
    04.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:2
    02.07.2023 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2:0
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps1283124:101427
    2Minnesota United1264219:11822
    3Portland Timbers1263322:19321
    4San Diego FC1262423:16720
    5Seattle Sounders1254320:14619
    6Los Angeles FC1253419:18118
    7San Jose Earthquakes1251626:20616
    8Austin FC125168:15-716
    9Colorado Rapids1244415:18-316
    10FC Dallas1244415:20-516
    11Real Salt Lake1241713:18-513
    12Sporting Kansas City1231817:22-510
    13St. Louis City122469:14-510
    14Houston Dynamo1224611:19-810
    15Los Angeles Galaxy120398:28-203


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati1281317:14325
    2Columbus Crew1274120:12825
    3Philadelphia Union1272323:121123
    4Inter Miami1163221:15621
    5Nashville SC1262422:15720
    6Charlotte1261519:14519
    7New York Red Bulls1253419:13618
    8Orlando City1246221:15618
    9New England Revolution1152412:10217
    10New York City1252513:14-117
    11Chicago Fire1244420:23-316
    12DC United1233613:25-1212
    13Toronto FC1224610:16-610
    14Atlanta Utd1224613:22-910
    15CF Montreal121386:16-106

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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