Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union
Result
0:1
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.82
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
87% (487/561)74% (218/294)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.402.17
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1830
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
109
Passes
87% (487/561)74% (218/294)
Long passes
66% (43/65)33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
67% (90/135)60% (52/87)
Crosses
24% (4/17)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.73
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
910
Tackles
89% (8/9)93% (13/14)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
1930
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.170.40
Goals prevented
1.170.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Lennon B. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 21', Bedoya A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Donovan C. , Baribo T. ,
  • 49', Damiani B. 🟨,
  • 57', Abram L. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Baribo T. (Pen),
  • 60', Damiani B. , Sullivan Q. ,
  • 60', Bedoya A. , Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 67', Thiare J. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 67', Muyumba T. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 71', Bueno J. , Vassilev I. ,
  • 86', Amador P. , Slisz B. ,
  • 89', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mosquera E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Uhre M. , Glesnes J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
45.7%
Draw
25.7%
Philadelphia Union
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 26.4% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 26.3% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.81)
    3.68
    (3.56)
    3.34
    (2.34)
    4.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: Atlanta United will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • Atlanta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Philadelphia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Atlanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P. (Groin Injury) Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Lennon B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:0
    28.09.2024 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 1:1
    14.04.2024 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2:2
    04.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:2
    02.07.2023 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2:0
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City27661539:55-1624
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Charlotte281521146:39747
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls281161142:38439
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 3
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan