Newcastle North Stars vs Perth Thunder: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder
Result
4:0
19/07/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 06:35, 1 - 0, Tallberg K. (G), Drolet F. (A), Kubara C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 0)
  • 04:36, 2 - 0, Klugerman R. (G), Hawes E. (A),
  • 05:35, 3 - 0, Kubara C. (G), Darge W. (A),
  • 19:51, 4 - 0, Hawes E. (G), Tallberg K. (A),

Chances of winning


Newcastle North Stars
44%
Draw
18.6%
Perth Thunder
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 19.1% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 19.5% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle North Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Perth Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle North Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Thunder than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perth Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.91)
    4.86
    (4.8)
    2.42
    (2.8)
    10.8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Perth is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Perth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Perth has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 64:82. (average 3.2:4.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 3.3:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder 3:2
    06.04.2025 Perth Thunder - Newcastle North Stars 6:1
    05.04.2025 Perth Thunder - Newcastle North Stars 7:4
    09.06.2024 Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder 1:2
    02.06.2024 Perth Thunder - Newcastle North Stars 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Ice (1)Bye
    2Newcastle (4)Brisbane Lightning (5)6 : 1
    3CBR Brave (2)Bye
    4Perth (3)Melbourne Mustangs (6)5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Ice (1)Newcastle (4)6 : 4
    2CBR Brave (2)Perth (3)6 : 1

    Final
    1Melbourne Ice (1)CBR Brave (2)7 : 3
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