Newcastle North Stars vs Melbourne Mustangs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs
Result
5:6
04/07/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 07:46, 1 - 0, Darge W. (G), Haarala S. (A), Drolet F. (A2)
  • 08:56, 1 - 1, Caron P. (G), Timmins S. (A), Crane B. (A2)
  • 16:45, 2 - 1, Baazzi A. (G), Haarala S. (A), Skachkov Y. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 4)
  • 12:17, 2 - 2, Hughes J. (G), Crane B. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
  • 12:45, 2 - 3, Astafiev A. (G), Lane J. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
  • 15:36, 2 - 4, Sucher L. (G), Crane B. (A), Ponomarev N. (A2)
  • 18:23, 3 - 4, Skachkov Y. (G), Haarala S. (A), Nadin P. (A2)
  • 19:41, 3 - 5, Timmins S. (G), Sasaki Y. (A),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 05:47, 4 - 5, Haarala S. (G), Skachkov Y. (A),
  • 10:07, 5 - 5, Skachkov Y. (G),
  • 15:12, 5 - 6, Crane B. (G), Hughes J. (A),

Chances of winning


Newcastle North Stars
56.4%
Draw
17.4%
Melbourne Mustangs
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 17.4% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 18.4% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle North Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Melbourne Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.58)
    5.27
    (5.25)
    3.49
    (3.65)
    9.3%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.25
    What is the prediction for Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs?
    • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:4.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Newcastle is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 97:77. (average 4.9:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 51:37. (average 5.1:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs were as follows:
    28.06.2026 Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars 2:5
    27.06.2026 Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars 4:3
    26.07.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars 1:8
    06.07.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars 5:8
    21.06.2025 Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs 7:4
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2026
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Newcastle2417106137:9053
    2Melbourne Mustangs2616109146:10450
    3CBR Brave2414217120:8947
    4Perth2312326112:8544
    5Melbourne Ice26121310132:12941
    6Sydney Ice Dogs25121111117:11539
    7Sydney Bears26112211111:11639
    8Central Coast Rhinos2791116119:15830
    9Brisbane Lightning2570117133:17622
    10Adelaide242121964:12910

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