Melbourne Mustangs vs Perth Thunder: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder
Result
4:3
15/06/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:24, 0 - 1, Lodge Y. (G), Ruck J. (A), Langille R. (A2)
  • 10:17, 1 - 1, Klomp D. (G),
  • 19:54, 1 - 2, Webster K. (G), Kennedy J. (A), Kyros J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 16:37, 2 - 2, Klomp D. (G), Timmins S. (A),
  • 16:51, 3 - 2, Klomp D. (G), Timmins S. (A), Wishart T. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:27, 3 - 3, Lodge Y. (G), Langille R. (A), Ruck J. (A2)
  • 08:19, 4 - 3, Roy M. (G), Wishart T. (A), Hayden D. (A2)

Chances of winning


Melbourne Mustangs
38.2%
Draw
20.9%
Perth Thunder
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 19.8% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 19.3% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Perth Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Thunder than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.27)
    4.33
    (4.6)
    2.21
    (2.27)
    10.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Perth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 75:67. (average 3.8:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Mustangs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:43. (average 4.1:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder 0:8
    28.07.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder 5:4
    14.07.2024 Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs 3:6
    13.07.2024 Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs 5:3
    20.04.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder 2:5
    Latest results of Perth Thunder
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice1712230110:5343
    2Brisbane Lightning14713368:6726
    3Perth16802677:6926
    4Melbourne Mustangs15620772:6422
    5Newcastle14530667:6421
    6CBR Brave14420862:7716
    7Adelaide14402848:7914
    8Central Coast Rhinos162221056:8712

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