Brisbane Broncos vs Penrith Panthers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers
28/09/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Brisbane Broncos
42.5%
Draw
4.2%
Penrith Panthers
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 3.9% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 3.8% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • The chances for Penrith Panthers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.15)
    17
    (23.5)
    1.73
    (1.73)
    11.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0.
    • Brisbane is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Penrith has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Penrith has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 341:424. (average 17.1:21.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 192:176. (average 17.5:16).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 32:8
    05.07.2024 Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers 6:14
    21.03.2024 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 34:12
    01.10.2023 Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 26:24
    18.05.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers 4:15
    Latest results of Brisbane Broncos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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