Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos
Result
14:30
20/07/2024 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: NRL - Round 20
  • Referee: Butler C. (Aus)
Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
35
Conversion Goals
15
Conversion Goal Attempts
35
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
33100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
203170
Metres Run With Ball
17281706

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 18)
  • 24', Mariner D. (Try),
  • 25', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Walsh R. (Try),
  • 31', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Mariner D. (Try),
  • 40', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 12)
  • 48', Piakura B. (Try),
  • 52', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Hetherington J. (Try),
  • 55', Ponga K. (Missed Conversion),
  • 65', Mam E. (Try),
  • 66', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Croker M. (Try),
  • 69', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Marzhew G. (Try),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
37.7%
Draw
4.3%
Brisbane Broncos
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 4.1% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 3.6% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Knights's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Broncos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Broncos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (1.97)
    20.65
    (22.63)
    1.61
    (1.88)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Brisbane will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 21:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 11 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 1.
    • Recent matches Newcastle is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Brisbane has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Brisbane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Brisbane will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Newcastle to win the game is with odds 2.43.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 310-518.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 180-218.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos were as follows:
    10.06.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Newcastle Knights 24:20
    Latest results of Newcastle Knights
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canterbury Bulldogs13112330:23228
    2Canberra Raiders15123412:31226
    3Melbourne Storm1394429:25724
    4New Zealand Warriors14104309:28424
    5Brisbane Broncos1477372:32218
    6Cronulla Sharks1587360:34018
    7Sydney Roosters1477344:32818
    8Penrith Panthers1467314:31317
    9Dolphins1578428:28816
    10Manly Sea Eagles1468322:30016
    11St. George Illawarra Dragons1358272:33116
    12NQ Cowboys1458286:42615
    13Newcastle Knights1569219:28214
    14Wests Tigers1459280:34614
    15Parramatta Eels1459267:35614
    16South Sydney Rabbitohs1569265:35414
    17Gold Coast Titans14410288:42612

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