Peñarol de Montevideo vs Progreso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso
Result
2:1
01/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Cougo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gularte E. , Arezo M. ,
  • 46', Suarez D. , Mendez J. ,
  • 46', Paolini M. , Carroso H. ,
  • 49', Kidd F. 🟨,
  • 57', Cougo A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 58', Fernandez N. , Garcia A. ,
  • 66', Cabrera J. 🟨,
  • 67', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 69', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 69', David Terans , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 76', Trasante G. , Asconeguy D. ,
  • 76', Sosa I. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Fernandez L. ,
  • 82', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 83', Lemmo I. , Silva G. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Lucas Hernandez ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
71.6%
Draw
18.1%
Progreso
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.1% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.29)
    5.11
    (5.41)
    9.36
    (8.62)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Peñarol (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:12. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:3
    26.11.2024 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:5
    22.06.2024 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    23.05.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso 3:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1081121:71425
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Defensor Sp106138:9-119
    6Liverpool M1053213:10318
    7Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    8Progreso1042412:11114
    9Danubio1041514:11313
    10CA Cerro104158:12-413
    11Miramar1032513:14-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo103257:16-911
    14Plaza Colonia101277:20-135
    15Wanderers101183:14-114
    16River Plate100373:15-123

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
    uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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