Result
0:1
07/06/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Batista F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Ocampo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cambon A. ↓, Soria N. ↑,
- 56', Batista F. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
- 65', Rijo T. ↓, Mederos R. ↑,
- 69', Cabrera J. ↓, Laxalt D. ↑,
- 74', Cappuccio A. 🟨,
- 78', Gularte E. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 78', Valenzuela I. ↓, Paiva S. ↑,
- 79', Amaro J. 🟨,
- 88', Madruga A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro
15% | Draw
24.7% | Peñarol de Montevideo
60.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.24 ↑
(5.78) |
3.75 ↓
(3.87) |
1.55 ↓
(1.56) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo?
- Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
- Cerro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peñarol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:23. (average 0.6:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Cerro?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
21.03.2026
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro
3:1
25.10.2025
Cerro
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:0
28.06.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro
2:0
27.04.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro
Abandoned
22.09.2024
Cerro
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:5
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
