Patronato Parana vs San Miguel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Patronato Parana - San Miguel
Result
2:1
19/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 15
  • Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)
Patronato Parana - San Miguel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Castro F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lavezzi A. , Nasta B. ,
  • 46', Ferrero J. , Salto C. ,
  • 50', 🟨,
  • 54', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Nasta B. ,
  • 66', Pereyra V. L. , Sombra A. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Castro F. ,
  • 73', Parnisari E. , Rojas M. ,
  • 74', Sena F. , Sosa D. ,
  • 76', Gallucci S. , Picco A. R. ,
  • 77', Castro F. , Diaz F. N. ,
  • 81', Juarez J. , Almada A. ,

Chances of winning


Patronato Parana
33.8%
Draw
32.9%
San Miguel
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29.7% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.8% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Patronato Parana - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.23)
    2.84
    (3.15)
    2.78
    (3.3)
    7.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Patronato Parana - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 12 - 75%). San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Patronato Parana will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - San Miguel were as follows:
    02.09.2024 San Miguel - Patronato Parana 2:4
    08.05.2024 Patronato Parana - San Miguel 0:1
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn291311541:261550
    2Atletico Atlanta291212527:19848
    3Tristan Suarez291014526:19744
    4San Miguel291111728:24444
    5San Martin T291111725:23244
    6Gimnasia y Tiro291110826:17943
    7Patronato291110829:24543
    8Deportivo Maipu291010928:27140
    9Los Andes299101027:25237
    10Quilmes298111029:29035
    11Racing Cordoba298111034:38-435
    12All Boys29713922:24-234
    13Colegiales29971317:23-634
    14Almagro297121023:27-433
    15Ferro297101219:31-1231
    16Club A. Guemes29515925:31-630
    17Arsenal Sarandi29791331:40-930
    18Alvarado295131117:27-1028


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy291412332:131954
    2Gimnasia Mendoza291411430:151553
    3Deportivo Moron291311531:171450
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto291311530:181250
    5Chacarita Juniors291211635:231247
    6Chaco For Ever291451031:24747
    7CA Estudiantes29137931:201146
    8Temperley291112624:19545
    9Agropecuario29119935:33242
    10Def. de Belgrano29911924:23138
    11CA Mitre29991124:24036
    12San Telmo298111025:34-935
    13Nueva Chicago298101125:28-334
    14Central Norte29961423:31-833
    15Colon Santa Fe29841721:35-1428
    16Almirante Brown295111322:34-1226
    17Defensores Unidos293101617:47-3019
    18Talleres (R.E)29452013:35-2217

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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