Result
2:1
19/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera Nacional - Round 15
- Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lavezzi A. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
- 46', Ferrero J. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
- 50', 🟨,
- 54', Salto C. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Nasta B. ⚽,
- 66', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Castro F. ⚽,
- 73', Parnisari E. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 74', Sena F. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
- 76', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 77', Castro F. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
- 81', Juarez J. ↓, Almada A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Patronato Parana
33.8% | Draw
32.9% | San Miguel
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Patronato Parana - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.23) |
2.84 ↓
(3.15) |
2.78 ↓
(3.3) |
7.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Patronato Parana - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 12 - 75%). San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Patronato Parana will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against San Miguel?
Patronato Parana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Patronato Parana?
San Miguel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - San Miguel were as follows:
02.09.2024
San Miguel
-
Patronato Parana
2:4
08.05.2024
Patronato Parana
-
San Miguel
0:1
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Latest results of San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico Atlanta | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | San Martin T | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 31 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Almagro | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | San Miguel | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Patronato | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 14:10 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Ferro | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | All Boys | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Colegiales | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6:15 | -9 | 17 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 12 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | Chacarita Juniors | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 17:14 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Temperley | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | Def. de Belgrano | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 25 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 25 |
| 12 | CA Mitre | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 11:10 | 1 | 21 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 14:16 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12:24 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 7:28 | -21 | 9 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4:21 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Patronato Parana - San Miguel?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
