Club Almagro vs Patronato Parana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros).

: Primera Nacional - Round 16
Referee: Recalde M. (Arg)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
2	3
Corner Kicks
7	1
Yellow Cards
3	2
Red Cards
1	1
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
13	4
Corner Kicks
7	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 🟨,
12', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Bonansea A. (Pen),
24', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Yegros U. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
62', Asis G. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
62', Castro F. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
71', Dornell T. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
71', Rodriguez A. ↓, Baldunciel L. ↑,
77', Barinaga J. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
77', Marcioni J. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
79', Gonzalez A. ↓, Diosquez N. ↑,
79', Luayza M. ↓, Chaves A. ↑,
86', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
88', Castro T. ↓, Conechny R. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Orlando J. ⚽,
90+5', Jerez Silva L. 🟥,
90+5', Pardo M. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Club Almagro
41.6%

Draw
32.5%

Patronato Parana
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Club Almagro - Patronato Parana Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.15)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	7.4% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Patronato Parana?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Almagro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Patronato has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Almagro could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Almagro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Club Almagro won against Patronato Parana?

Club Almagro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Club Almagro?

Patronato Parana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Patronato Parana were as follows:

07.10.2023 Club Almagro - Patronato Parana 2:1

28.05.2023 Patronato Parana - Club Almagro 1:0

Latest results of Club Almagro

16.05.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste - Club Almagro 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Club Almagro - Los Andes 1:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Club Almagro - San Miguel 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Quilmes - Club Almagro 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Club Almagro - Racing de Córdoba 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Patronato Parana

19.05.2025 Patronato Parana - San Miguel 2:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Quilmes - Patronato Parana 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba 3:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Atlanta Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Patronato Parana - Colegiales 0:1 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2025

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn	29	13	11	5	41:26	15	50
2	Atletico Atlanta	29	12	12	5	27:19	8	48
3	Tristan Suarez	29	10	14	5	26:19	7	44
4	San Miguel	29	11	11	7	28:24	4	44
5	San Martin T	29	11	11	7	25:23	2	44
6	Gimnasia y Tiro	29	11	10	8	26:17	9	43
7	Patronato	29	11	10	8	29:24	5	43
8	Deportivo Maipu	29	10	10	9	28:27	1	40
9	Los Andes	29	9	10	10	27:25	2	37
10	Quilmes	29	8	11	10	29:29	0	35
11	Racing Cordoba	29	8	11	10	34:38	-4	35
12	All Boys	29	7	13	9	22:24	-2	34
13	Colegiales	29	9	7	13	17:23	-6	34
14	Almagro	29	7	12	10	23:27	-4	33
15	Ferro	29	7	10	12	19:31	-12	31
16	Club A. Guemes	29	5	15	9	25:31	-6	30
17	Arsenal Sarandi	29	7	9	13	31:40	-9	30
18	Alvarado	29	5	13	11	17:27	-10	28

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	29	14	12	3	32:13	19	54
2	Gimnasia Mendoza	29	14	11	4	30:15	15	53
3	Deportivo Moron	29	13	11	5	31:17	14	50
4	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	29	13	11	5	30:18	12	50
5	Chacarita Juniors	29	12	11	6	35:23	12	47
6	Chaco For Ever	29	14	5	10	31:24	7	47
7	CA Estudiantes	29	13	7	9	31:20	11	46
8	Temperley	29	11	12	6	24:19	5	45
9	Agropecuario	29	11	9	9	35:33	2	42
10	Def. de Belgrano	29	9	11	9	24:23	1	38
11	CA Mitre	29	9	9	11	24:24	0	36
12	San Telmo	29	8	11	10	25:34	-9	35
13	Nueva Chicago	29	8	10	11	25:28	-3	34
14	Central Norte	29	9	6	14	23:31	-8	33
15	Colon Santa Fe	29	8	4	17	21:35	-14	28
16	Almirante Brown	29	5	11	13	22:34	-12	26
17	Defensores Unidos	29	3	10	16	17:47	-30	19
18	Talleres (R.E)	29	4	5	20	13:35	-22	17

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Club Almagro - Patronato Parana?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1
Venezuela	DSports 1