Parma vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Parma - Lecce
Result
1:3
31/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 23
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Parma - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
196
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
91
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
32
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
06
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
14
Fouls
814
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2016
Touches in the Opposition Box
3213
Passes
84% (340/407)85% (397/468)
Passes in the final third
66% (86/131)58% (39/67)
Crosses
24% (5/21)45% (5/11)
Tackles
60% (6/10)80% (12/15)
Clearances Total
840
Interceptions
126

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Valeri E. (Pen),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Krstovic N. , Helgason T. J. (A),
  • 45', Mihaila V. , Bonny A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Haj Mohamed A. , Camara D. ,
  • 56', Ramadani Y. , Coulibaly L. ,
  • 56', Karlsson J. , Tete Morente ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Pierotti S. , Krstovic N. (A),
  • 69', Valenti L. , Hainaut A. ,
  • 69', Keita M. , Almqvist P. ,
  • 75', Cancellieri M. , Ondrejka J. ,
  • 79', Karlsson J. 🟨,
  • 90', Camara D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Pierotti S. , Krstovic N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Parma
44.1%
Draw
27.9%
Lecce
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 27.1% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 24% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Parma - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.07)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    3.42
    (3.5)
    4.3%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Parma - Lecce?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 2.
    • Recent matches Parma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lecce is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Parma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Del Prato E. (Yellow Cards) Di Chiara G. (Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Broken ankle) Gaspar K. (Injury) Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Balogh B. (Calf Injury) Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Estevez N. (Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Parma won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Lecce were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Lecce - Parma 2:2
    01.11.2023 Lecce - Parma 2:4
    Latest results of Parma
    26.01.2025 Milan - Parma 3:2
    19.01.2025 Parma - Venezia 1:1
    12.01.2025 Genoa - Parma 1:0
    05.01.2025 Torino - Parma 0:0
    28.12.2024 Parma - Monza 2:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    26.01.2025 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:4
    19.01.2025 Cagliari - Lecce 4:1
    11.01.2025 Empoli - Lecce 1:3
    05.01.2025 Lecce - Genoa 0:0
    30.12.2024 Como - Lecce 2:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli ✔ 36239457:273078
    2Inter ✔ 36238575:334277
    3Atalanta ✔ 36218773:324171
    4Juventus361616453:332064
    5Lazio361810859:461364
    6AS Roma36189951:341763
    7Bologna361614654:411362
    8AC Milan361791058:401860
    9Fiorentina361781154:371759
    10Como361391448:49-148
    11Torino3610141239:42-344
    12Udinese361281639:51-1244
    13Genoa369131432:45-1340
    14Cagliari36891937:54-1733
    15Verona36962131:64-3333
    16Parma366141641:56-1532
    17Venezia365141730:50-2029
    18Lecce366102025:58-3328
    19Empoli365131829:56-2728
    20Monza ✔ 36392427:64-3718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Monza is Relegated to Serie B
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