Parma vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Parma - Lecce
Result
1:3
31/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 23
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Parma - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
196
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
91
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
32
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
06
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
14
Fouls
814
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2016
Touches in the Opposition Box
3213
Passes
84% (340/407)85% (397/468)
Passes in the final third
66% (86/131)58% (39/67)
Crosses
24% (5/21)45% (5/11)
Tackles
60% (6/10)80% (12/15)
Clearances Total
840
Interceptions
126

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Valeri E. (Pen),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Krstovic N. , Helgason T. J. (A),
  • 45', Mihaila V. , Bonny A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Haj Mohamed A. , Camara D. ,
  • 56', Ramadani Y. , Coulibaly L. ,
  • 56', Karlsson J. , Tete Morente ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Pierotti S. , Krstovic N. (A),
  • 69', Valenti L. , Hainaut A. ,
  • 69', Keita M. , Almqvist P. ,
  • 75', Cancellieri M. , Ondrejka J. ,
  • 79', Karlsson J. 🟨,
  • 90', Camara D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Pierotti S. , Krstovic N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Parma
44.1%
Draw
27.9%
Lecce
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 27.1% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 24% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Parma - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.07)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    3.42
    (3.5)
    4.3%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Parma - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 20 - 48.8%). Lecce will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 36.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 33.5%64.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 2.
    • Recent matches Parma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lecce is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Parma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Del Prato E. (Yellow Cards) Di Chiara G. (Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Broken ankle) Gaspar K. (Injury) Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Balogh B. (Calf Injury) Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Estevez N. (Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Parma won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Lecce were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Lecce - Parma 2:2
    01.11.2023 Lecce - Parma 2:4
    Latest results of Parma
    26.01.2025 Milan - Parma 3:2
    19.01.2025 Parma - Venezia 1:1
    12.01.2025 Genoa - Parma 1:0
    05.01.2025 Torino - Parma 0:0
    28.12.2024 Parma - Monza 2:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    26.01.2025 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:4
    19.01.2025 Cagliari - Lecce 4:1
    11.01.2025 Empoli - Lecce 1:3
    05.01.2025 Lecce - Genoa 0:0
    30.12.2024 Como - Lecce 2:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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