Lazio vs Parma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

: Serie A - Round 34
Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.87
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
89% (546/614)	75% (205/275)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.94	1.60
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
36	13
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
7	1
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
89% (546/614)	75% (205/275)
Long passes
63% (29/46)	44% (31/71)
Passes in final third
78% (143/184)	45% (32/71)
Crosses
22% (7/32)	50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.56	0.55
Throw-ins
24	6
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
60% (6/10)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
33	43
Clearances
14	33
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.60	2.94
Goals prevented
-0.40	0.94

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ondrejka J. ⚽, Valeri E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Ondrejka J. ⚽,
50', Castellanos T. 🟨,
54', Leoni G. 🟨,
57', Dia B. ↓, Pedro ↑,
60', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
60', Bonny A. ↓, Hernani ↑,
71', Ondrejka J. ↓, Man D. ↑,
71', Hainaut A. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
71', Zaccagni M. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
71', Rovella N. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
71', Isaksen G. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
75', Hernani 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, Pedro ⚽,
80', Djuric M. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Pedro ⚽, Pellegrini Lu. (A),
88', Valeri E. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Lazio
67.6%

Draw
20%

Parma
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22.1%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lazio's performance.

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Lazio - Parma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)	4.8 ↑ (4.33)	7.7 ↑ (5.76)	4.3% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lazio - Parma?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Postponed due to national mourning.
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 4.
Lazio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Parma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lazio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lazio is absolute favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Lazio won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30:14 (average 1.9:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20:6 (average 2.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Parma?

Lazio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Lazio?

Parma has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Parma were as follows:

01.12.2024 Parma - Lazio 3:1

Latest results of Lazio

23.04.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Lazio - Bodø Glimt 3:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Lazio - Roma 1:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Bodø Glimt - Lazio 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Parma

23.04.2025 Parma - Juventus 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺

31.03.2025 Verona - Parma 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Monza - Parma 1:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli ✔	36	23	9	4	57:27	30	78
2	Inter ✔	36	23	8	5	75:33	42	77
3	Atalanta ✔	36	21	8	7	73:32	41	71
4	Juventus	36	16	16	4	53:33	20	64
5	Lazio	36	18	10	8	59:46	13	64
6	AS Roma	36	18	9	9	51:34	17	63
7	Bologna	36	16	14	6	54:41	13	62
8	AC Milan	36	17	9	10	58:40	18	60
9	Fiorentina	36	17	8	11	54:37	17	59
10	Como	36	13	9	14	48:49	-1	48
11	Torino	36	10	14	12	39:42	-3	44
12	Udinese	36	12	8	16	39:51	-12	44
13	Genoa	36	9	13	14	32:45	-13	40
14	Cagliari	36	8	9	19	37:54	-17	33
15	Verona	36	9	6	21	31:64	-33	33
16	Parma	36	6	14	16	41:56	-15	32
17	Venezia	36	5	14	17	30:50	-20	29
18	Lecce	36	6	10	20	25:58	-33	28
19	Empoli	36	5	13	18	29:56	-27	28
20	Monza ✔	36	3	9	24	27:64	-37	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Monza is Relegated to Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Lazio - Parma?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball