Paris Saint-Germain vs Inter Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan
Result
5:0
31/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.49
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
88% (464/529)82% (287/352)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
3.230.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.790.24
Total shots
238
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
206
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
713
Passes
88% (464/529)82% (287/352)
Long passes
56% (27/48)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
83% (108/130)66% (42/64)
Crosses
67% (6/9)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.130.35
Throw-ins
1219
Fouls
137
Tackles
62% (8/13)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
227
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.242.79
Goals prevented
0.24-2.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hakimi A. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', Pavard B. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
  • 53', Dimarco F. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
  • 56', Zalewski N. 🟨,
  • 58', Inzaghi S. 🟨,
  • 62', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
  • 62', Bisseck Y. ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
  • 65', Doue D. 🟨,
  • 66', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
  • 69', Thuram M. 🟨,
  • 70', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Asllani K. ↑,
  • 71', Acerbi F. 🟨,
  • 73', 4 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 78', Mendes N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 84', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 84', Ruiz F. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
  • 84', Neves J. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Mayulu S. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
  • 90', Hakimi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
44.7%		Draw
27.6%		Inter Milan
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.4% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.17 ↓
    (2.3)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.41)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.27)    		 3.4%
    (3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 138 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 91 - 65.9%). Inter will win (votes: 22 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 18.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 58% – 73.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 33 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 23 - 69.7%). Inter (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - PSG (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Allianz Arena.
    • PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • PSG could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan were as follows:
    01.08.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    24.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Reims 3:0 ✺
    17.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 3:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4 ✺
    07.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    23.05.2025 Como - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    18.05.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:2 ✺
    11.05.2025 Torino - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 Inter Milan - Verona 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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