Paris Saint-Germain vs Girona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Girona
Result
1:0
18/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Paris Saint-Germain - Girona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.11
Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
232
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
80
Blocked Shots
101
Free Kicks
228
Corner Kicks
51
Offsides
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Fouls
817
Yellow Cards
13
Total Passes
687419
Completed Passes
633334
Clearances Completed
1013
Crosses Completed
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 20', Krejci L. 🟨,
  • 39', Asensio M. , Kolo Muani R. ,
  • 43', Romeu O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', van de Beek D. , Danjuma A. ,
  • 58', Stuani C. , Portu ,
  • 63', Vitinha , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 63', Barcola B. , Doue D. ,
  • 63', Ruiz F. , Neves J. ,
  • 66', Gil B. , Asprilla Y. ,
  • 66', Martin I. , Solis Romero J. E. ,
  • 74', Gazzaniga P. 🟨,
  • 88', Tsygankov V. , Frances A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Gazzaniga P. (Own goal), Mendes N. (A),
  • 90+2', Dembele O. , Beraldo L. ,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
74.4%
Draw
15.7%
Girona
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 20.4% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 19.9% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.
  • Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Girona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Girona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.51)
    6.17
    (4.7)
    9.91
    (5.98)
    3.6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Girona?
  • Users Predictions: 130 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 120 - 92.3%). Girona will win (votes: 4 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 4.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 87.7%96.9%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • PSG in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Girona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.36.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Girona
    15.09.2024 Girona - Barcelona 1:4
    01.09.2024 Sevilla - Girona 0:2
    29.08.2024 Girona - Osasuna 4:0
    25.08.2024 Atlético Madrid - Girona 3:0
    15.08.2024 Betis - Girona 1:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3Inter22005:056
    4Tottenham21103:214
    5PSG11004:043
    6Atl. Madrid21017:433
    7Marseille21015:233
    8Sporting CP11004:133
    9Club Brugge KV21015:323
    10Royale Union SG11003:123
    11Arsenal11002:023
    12Manchester City11002:023
    13Qarabag11003:213
    14Barcelona11002:113
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Liverpool21013:303
    17Chelsea21012:3-13
    18Galatasaray21012:5-33
    19Atalanta21012:5-33
    20Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    21Dortmund10104:401
    22Juventus10104:401
    23Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    24FC Copenhagen10102:201
    25Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    26Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    27Pafos20111:5-41
    28Newcastle10011:2-10
    29Villarreal10010:1-10
    30Benfica20022:4-20
    31PSV10011:3-20
    32Napoli10010:2-20
    33Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    34Monaco10011:4-30
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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