Paris Saint-Germain vs Girona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Girona
Result
1:0
18/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Paris Saint-Germain - Girona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.11
Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
232
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
80
Blocked Shots
101
Free Kicks
228
Corner Kicks
51
Offsides
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Fouls
817
Yellow Cards
13
Total Passes
687419
Completed Passes
633334
Clearances Completed
1013
Crosses Completed
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 20', Krejci L. 🟨,
  • 39', Asensio M. , Kolo Muani R. ,
  • 43', Romeu O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', van de Beek D. , Danjuma A. ,
  • 58', Stuani C. , Portu ,
  • 63', Vitinha , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 63', Barcola B. , Doue D. ,
  • 63', Ruiz F. , Neves J. ,
  • 66', Gil B. , Asprilla Y. ,
  • 66', Martin I. , Solis Romero J. E. ,
  • 74', Gazzaniga P. 🟨,
  • 88', Tsygankov V. , Frances A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Gazzaniga P. (Own goal), Mendes N. (A),
  • 90+2', Dembele O. , Beraldo L. ,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
74.4%
Draw
15.7%
Girona
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 20.4% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 19.9% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.
  • Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Girona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Girona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.51)
    6.17
    (4.7)
    9.91
    (5.98)
    3.6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Girona?
  • Users Predictions: 130 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 120 - 92.3%). Girona will win (votes: 4 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 4.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 87.7%96.9%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • PSG in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Girona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.36.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Girona
    15.09.2024 Girona - Barcelona 1:4
    01.09.2024 Sevilla - Girona 0:2
    29.08.2024 Girona - Osasuna 4:0
    25.08.2024 Atlético Madrid - Girona 3:0
    15.08.2024 Betis - Girona 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
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