Barcelona vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona).

: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.52
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	9
Passes
87% (367/424)	87% (414/474)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	1.49
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
8	10
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	9
Touches in opposition box
26	39
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
87% (367/424)	87% (414/474)
Long passes
45% (18/40)	51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
74% (61/82)	79% (99/126)
Crosses
20% (1/5)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	1.11
Throw-ins
15	14
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
65% (11/17)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
51	44
Clearances
17	9
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
xGOT faced
1.49	0.61
Goals prevented
-0.51	-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
32', de Jong F. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Mayulu S. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
44', Mendes N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Olmo D. 🟨,
65', Mbaye I. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
72', Olmo D. ↓, Casado M. ↑,
72', Rashford M. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
72', Martin G. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
72', Ruiz F. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
78', Casado M. 🟨,
79', Pedri ↓, Bernal M. ↑,
80', Barcola B. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
80', Mayulu S. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
86', Garcia E. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
87', Hakimi A. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Ramos G. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
90+2', Lamine Yamal 🟨,

Chances of winning

Barcelona
55.2%

Draw
21.9%

Paris Saint-Germain
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

23.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

22.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)	4.41 ↑ (4.11)	4.21 ↑ (3.37)	2.8% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain?

Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 66 - 73.3%). PSG will win (votes: 9 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 64.2% – 82.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 6 - 75%).

O/U 3 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
Barcelona has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Barcelona: Garcia J. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Lopez F. (Groin Injury) Raphinha (Thigh Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)
There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Thigh Injury) Doue D. (Calf Injury) Kamara N. (International duty) Kvaratskhelia K. (Muscle Injury) Marquinhos (Thigh Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 2.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Barcelona has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Barcelona?

Paris Saint-Germain has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:

16.04.2024 Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4

10.04.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona 2:3

Latest results of Barcelona

28.09.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Real Oviedo - Barcelona 1:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Barcelona - Getafe 3:0 ✺

18.09.2025 Newcastle United - Barcelona 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 6:0 ✺

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

27.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 2:0 ✺

22.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Atalanta 4:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lens 2:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 3:6 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 6, TVM Sport+
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	RTS 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus