Paris Saint-Germain vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid
Result
4:0
15/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.89
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
95% (775/817)82% (226/275)
Yellow Cards
27
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.89
xG on target (xGOT)
4.420.19
Total shots
165
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
87
Passes
95% (775/817)82% (226/275)
Long passes
83% (44/53)61% (19/31)
Passes in final third
87% (139/160)69% (36/52)
Crosses
10% (1/10)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.71
Throw-ins
138
Fouls
78
Tackles
22% (2/9)68% (15/22)
Duels won
3336
Clearances
913
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.194.42
Goals prevented
0.19-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Ruiz F. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
  • 20', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 25', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 28', Ruiz F. 🟨,
  • 29', Simeone G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Vitinha ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lino S. ↓, Koke ↑,
  • 48', Koke 🟨,
  • 61', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 62', Galan J. ↓, Mandava R. ↑,
  • 62', de Paul R. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
  • 62', Simeone G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
  • 63', Correa A. 🟨,
  • 64', Mandava R. 🟨,
  • 66', Ramos G. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
  • 70', Barrios P. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
  • 72', Ruiz F. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
  • 72', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
  • 78', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 79', Mendes N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 80', Doue D. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Mayulu S. ⚽,
  • 90+7', 4 - 0, Lee Kang-In (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
47.2%		Draw
25.8%		Atlético Madrid
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 25.5% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 25.4% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2 ↑
    (1.93)    		 3.67 ↓
    (3.7)    		 3.52 ↓
    (3.71)    		 5.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 56 - 71.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 8 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 61.8% – 81.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
    • AH -0.5 - Atlético (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • PSG is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.
    • PSG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in PSG: Barcola B. (Knee Injury) Dembele O. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    06.11.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid 1:2
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    31.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan 5:0 ✺
    24.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Reims 3:0 ✺
    17.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 3:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4 ✺
    07.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    25.05.2025 Girona - Atlético Madrid 0:4 ✺
    18.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Betis 4:1 ✺
    15.05.2025 Osasuna - Atlético Madrid 2:0 ✺
    10.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 0:0 ✺
    FIFA Club World Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahly10100:001
    2FC Porto10100:001
    3Palmeiras10100:001
    4Inter Miami10100:001


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG11004:043
    2Botafogo RJ11002:113
    3Seattle Sounders10011:2-10
    4Atl. Madrid10010:4-40


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich110010:0103
    2Benfica10102:201
    3Boca Juniors10102:201
    4Auckland City10010:10-100


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Chelsea11002:023
    3Esperance Tunis10010:2-20
    4Los Angeles FC10010:2-20


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate11003:123
    2Monterrey10101:101
    3Inter10101:101
    4Urawa Reds10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mamelodi Sundowns11001:013
    2Dortmund10100:001
    3Fluminense10100:001
    4Ulsan HD10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manchester City11002:023
    2Al Ain00000:000
    3Juventus00000:000
    4Wydad10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid10101:101
    2Al Hilal10101:101
    3Salzburg00000:000
    4Pachuca00000:000

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