Paris Saint-Germain vs Atalanta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Atalanta
Result
4:0
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
Paris Saint-Germain - Atalanta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.450.57
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
132
Big Chances
100
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
91% (650/711)81% (278/343)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.450.57
xG on target (xGOT)
4.550.25
Total shots
227
Shots on target
132
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
100
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
4416
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
115
Passes
91% (650/711)81% (278/343)
Long passes
54% (19/35)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
82% (141/171)70% (57/82)
Crosses
50% (4/8)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.320.93
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
511
Tackles
83% (10/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4025
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
0.254.55
Goals prevented
0.250.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Marquinhos , Ruiz F. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. , Hakimi A. (A),
  • 44', Musah Y. 🟨,
  • 44', Barcola B. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', De Ketelaere C. , Samardzic L. ,
  • 46', Maldini D. , Krstovic N. ,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Mendes N. , Barcola B. (A),
  • 55', Mayulu S. , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 55', Ruiz F. , Zaire-Emery W. ,
  • 58', Neves J. , Ramos G. ,
  • 75', Mendes N. , Zabarnyi I. ,
  • 75', Kvaratskhelia K. , Mbaye I. ,
  • 75', Djimsiti B. , Scalvini G. ,
  • 75', Musah Y. , Brescianini M. ,
  • 85', Scalvini G. , Ahanor H. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 0, Ramos G. ,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
72.5%
Draw
17%
Atalanta
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 17.2% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.35)
    5.87
    (5.58)
    9.63
    (8.12)
    2.1%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Atalanta?
  • Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 68 - 85%). Atalanta will win (votes: 7 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 77.2%92.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (15 of 20 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • PSG has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Atalanta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Atalanta has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in PSG: Beraldo L. (Ankle Injury) Dembele O. (Thigh Injury) Doue D. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Ederson (Knee Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Lookman A. (Inactive) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Atalanta
    14.09.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 4:1
    30.08.2025 Parma - Atalanta 1:1
    24.08.2025 Atalanta - Pisa 1:1
    16.08.2025 Atalanta - Juventus 1:2
    10.08.2025 Atalanta - Opatija 3:3
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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