Aris vs Panetolikos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Greek Super League Aris - Panetolikos
Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 2
  • Referee: Vergetis C. (Gre)
Aris - Panetolikos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.19
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
90% (525/582)73% (163/223)
Yellow Cards
06
Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.93
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
90% (525/582)73% (163/223)
Long passes
63% (31/49)29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
87% (154/177)46% (22/48)
Crosses
22% (8/37)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.46
Throw-ins
2615
Fouls
1116
Tackles
83% (10/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
5229
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
210
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
1.930.70
Goals prevented
-0.070.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Garcia U. 🟨,
  • 29', Perez C. , Morutan O. ,
  • 43', Michalak K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Diandy C. , Gianniotas G. ,
  • 56', Racic U. , Misehouy G. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Aguirre J. , Sielis C. (A),
  • 69', Manrique C. 🟨,
  • 69', Frydek M. , Mendyl H. ,
  • 70', Morutan O. , Kadewere T. ,
  • 77', Garcia U. , Stajic N. ,
  • 77', Apostolopoulos A. , Matan A. ,
  • 77', Luis M. 🟨,
  • 86', Luis M. , Nikolaou V. ,
  • 86', Aguirre J. , Aleksic K. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Aleksic K. , Michalak K. (A),
  • 89', Kojic L. 🟨,
  • 90', Esteban Diego , Belevonis C. ,
  • 90+4', Stajic N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aris
48%
Draw
31.6%
Panetolikos
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 24% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 26.9% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.
  • Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panetolikos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panetolikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aris - Panetolikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (1.55)
    3.98
    (3.95)
    6.04
    (6.33)
    -22.9%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Aris - Panetolikos?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Panetolikos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 3.
    • Aris is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Panetolikos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Aris has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Aris is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Panetolikos: Mavrias Ch. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - Panetolikos were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Aris - Panetolikos 2:1
    09.11.2024 Panetolikos - Aris 2:1
    06.03.2024 Aris - Panetolikos 0:0
    13.02.2024 Panetolikos - Aris 0:1
    14.01.2024 Panetolikos - Aris 0:4
    Latest results of Aris
    23.08.2025 Aris - Volos 2:0
    17.08.2025 Aris - Asteras Tripolis 2:1
    31.07.2025 Aris - Araz Naxçıvan 2:2
    24.07.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Aris 2:1
    17.07.2025 Aris - Anorthosis 2:1
    Latest results of Panetolikos
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olympiacos Piraeus22004:046
    2AEK Athens FC22003:036
    3PAOK22002:026
    4Levadiakos21104:314
    5Atromitos21012:113
    6Panetolikos21012:203
    7OFI Crete11001:013
    8Aris21012:203
    9Panathinaikos10101:101
    10Kifisia20113:4-11
    11AEL Larissa20111:2-11
    12Panserraikos20020:3-30
    13Asteras Tripolis20020:3-30
    14Volos20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

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