Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 8
Advertisement
Watch and bet Palmeiras - São Paulo live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (373/464) | 76% (277/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (373/464) | 76% (277/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 27% (16/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (76/118) | 62% (38/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 66% (19/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 31', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Matheus Alves ↓, Oscar ↑,
- 55', Soares C. ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 61', Rios R. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 62', Allan ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 62', Abel Ferreira 🟥,
- 66', Paulinho ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 75', Ferreira ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 75', Marcos Antonio ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 79', Moreno A. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 79', Estevao ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 85', Piquerez J. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 0, Vitor Roque ⚽,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
54.1% | Draw
28.2% | São Paulo
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Palmeiras - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.79) |
3.35 ↓
(3.44) |
5.33 ↑
(4.84) |
5.5%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 60.7% – 93.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Felipe Anderson
(Inactive)
Micael
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo
(Inactive)
Igor Vinicius
(Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Oscar
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista
(Injury)
- We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against São Paulo?
Palmeiras has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Palmeiras?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - São Paulo were as follows:
10.03.2025
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
1:0
16.02.2025
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
0:0
18.08.2024
Palmeiras
-
São Paulo
2:1
29.04.2024
São Paulo
-
Palmeiras
0:0
03.03.2024
São Paulo
-
Palmeiras
1:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 44:9 | 35 | 46 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 27:15 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
| 4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Palmeiras - São Paulo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
