São Bernardo vs Palmeiras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Campeonato Paulista São Bernardo - Palmeiras
Result
0:3
01/03/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
São Bernardo - Palmeiras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.92
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
13
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
37
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1313
Offsides
21
Fouls
1313
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1719
Touches in the Opposition Box
820
Passes
78% (268/344)84% (364/431)
Passes in the final third
59% (39/66)73% (98/134)
Crosses
20% (2/10)25% (7/28)
Tackles
47% (8/17)81% (17/21)
Clearances Total
1911
Interceptions
1512

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Estevao , Flaco Lopez (A),
  • 31', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Estevao , Flaco Lopez (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Guilherme Queiroz , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 58', 0 - 3, Flaco Lopez ,
  • 59', Augusto , Foguinho ,
  • 59', Emerson Santos , Lucas Rian ,
  • 61', Micael , Bruno Fuchs ,
  • 72', Leo Jaba , Lucas Tocantins ,
  • 73', Matheus Salustiano 🟨,
  • 74', Martinez E. , Moreno A. ,
  • 75', Flaco Lopez , Thalys ,
  • 83', Torres F. , Felipe Anderson ,
  • 83', Estevao , Mayke ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Bernardo 12.6%Draw 21.9%Palmeiras 65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
São Bernardo 17.3%Draw 25.9%Palmeiras 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

São Bernardo 17.2%Draw 25.7%Palmeiras 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Bernardo - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.45
    (5.25)
    4.24
    (3.5)
    1.42
    (1.6)
    7.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Palmeiras?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0.
    • Recent matches São Bernardo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Palmeiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1:13 (average 0.1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Palmeiras were as follows:
    15.02.2024 São Bernardo - Palmeiras 0:1
    11.03.2023 Palmeiras - São Bernardo 1:0
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3
    20.02.2025 Palmeiras - Botafogo SP 3:1
    16.02.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 0:0
    09.02.2025 Água Santa - Palmeiras 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao BernardoPalmeiras0 : 3
    2Sao PauloNovorizontino1 : 0
    3CorinthiansMirassol2 : 0
    4SantosBragantino2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1PalmeirasSao Paulo1 : 0
    2CorinthiansSantos2 : 1

    Final
    1PalmeirasCorinthians0 : 0, 0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of São Bernardo - Palmeiras?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    israelIsraelSport 2
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    usaUsaFanatiz
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