Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras
Result
0:2
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.63
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
76% (255/335)81% (333/412)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.131.80
Total shots
179
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
76% (255/335)81% (333/412)
Long passes
51% (27/53)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
56% (54/96)58% (56/96)
Crosses
19% (4/21)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.43
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1013
Tackles
57% (12/21)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5670
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.800.13
Goals prevented
-0.200.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
  • 23', Lucas Evangelista 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Estevao , Lucas Evangelista (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bruno Fuchs , Murilo ,
  • 46', Lucas Evangelista , Rios R. ,
  • 63', Torres F. , Paulinho ,
  • 63', Allan , Mayke ,
  • 65', Rivas L. , Dominguez C. ,
  • 74', Rios R. 🟨,
  • 75', Iturbe J. , Aguayo G. ,
  • 75', Carrizo F. , Araujo S. ,
  • 82', Viera W. 🟨,
  • 82', Benitez A. , Gomez R. ,
  • 82', Piris R. , Valdez B. ,
  • 83', Estevao , Raphael Veiga ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, Vitor Roque , Paulinho (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerro Porteño
23.6%
Draw
28.8%
Palmeiras
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 28.2% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 27.4% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.01
    (4.41)
    3.27
    (3.35)
    1.98
    (1.88)
    6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G. (Inactive) Melgarejo R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Marcos Rocha (Calf Injury) Micael (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño 1:0
    24.05.2023 Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras 0:3
    20.04.2023 Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño 2:1
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    04.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras 0:1
    30.04.2025 Ceará - Palmeiras 0:1
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    24.04.2025 Bolívar - Palmeiras 2:3
    20.04.2025 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 1:2
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. De Chile53118:5310
    2Estudiantes L.P43017:259
    3Botafogo RJ42024:316
    4Carabobo50142:11-91


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42206:428
    2Ind. del Valle41214:405
    3Barcelona SC41123:4-14
    4U. de Deportes41122:3-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba53207:4311
    2LDU Quito42205:238
    3Flamengo RJ41213:305
    4Dep. Tachira50054:10-60


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo ✔ 43107:2510
    2Libertad Asuncion42113:217
    3Alianza Lima41125:7-24
    4Talleres Cordoba40132:6-41


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fortaleza52218:448
    2Racing Club42119:367
    3Bucaramanga51316:9-36
    4Colo Colo40224:11-72


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bahia42114:407
    2Atl. Nacional42026:516
    3Internacional41218:715
    4Nacional41126:8-24


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras44009:4512
    2Cerro Porteno52127:707
    3Sporting Cristal51136:10-44
    4Bolivar41038:9-13


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield42118:447
    2Penarol42116:247
    3SA Bulo Bulo42025:8-36
    4Olimpia Asuncion40223:8-52

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 4
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
    peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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