Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Cruzeiro - Palestino live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (435/506) | 78% (266/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (435/506) | 78% (266/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (31/45) | 41% (28/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (132/175) | 61% (48/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Martinez Arce A. E. ⚽, Abrigo J. (A),
- 43', William Furtado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Christian ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 46', Villalba L. ↓, Gamarra M. ↑,
- 46', Romero L. ↓, Walace ↑,
- 49', Abrigo J. 🟨,
- 50', Kenji 🟨,
- 59', Zuniga D. 🟨,
- 59', Diaz L. ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 67', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Bolasie Y. ⚽, William Furtado (A),
- 70', Kenji ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 73', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 76', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 76', Carrasco B. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 76', Benitez J. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Dinenno J. (A),
- 90+3', Fernandez J. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
37.8% | Draw
28.4% | Palestino
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palestino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+20.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palestino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruzeiro - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(1.62) |
3.34 ↓
(3.9) |
2.83 ↓
(5) |
5.5%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cruzeiro is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Palestino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Palestino?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Cruzeiro?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Palestino were as follows:
24.04.2025
Palestino
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Palestino
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Independiente | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 3 | Boston River | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 3 | Vitoria | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Huracan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Godoy Cruz | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Grau | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Palestino | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Once Caldas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | U. Espanola | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | GV San Jose | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Vasco | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Caracas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 | Deportes Iquique | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Cruzeiro - Palestino?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
