Palestino vs Bolívar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana Palestino - Bolívar
Result
0:3
23/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
Palestino - Bolívar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.22
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
85% (359/424)85% (384/452)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.512.09
Total shots
218
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
85% (359/424)85% (384/452)
Long passes
66% (38/58)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
72% (92/128)73% (49/67)
Crosses
52% (11/21)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.180.54
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
1118
Tackles
73% (16/22)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5754
Clearances
1636
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
2.091.51
Goals prevented
-0.911.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', Catano D. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Catano D. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Sagredo J. , Catano D. (A),
  • 33', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
  • 38', Meza F. , Ceza Gavilan A. A. ,
  • 38', Fernandez J. , Abrigo J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Batallini D. , Melgar C. A. ,
  • 52', Justiniano L. 🟨,
  • 60', Castro F. , Tapia Paez G. ,
  • 60', Fernandez R. , Arias J. ,
  • 66', 0 - 3, Cauteruccio M. , Catano D. (A),
  • 67', Catano D. , Velasquez J. ,
  • 74', Carrasco B. , Salgado D. ,
  • 81', Pato Rodriguez , Paz L. ,
  • 82', Torren M. , Vaca Moreno E. ,
  • 82', Robson Matheus , Saavedra E. ,
  • 87', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palestino
53.1%
Draw
23.6%
Bolívar
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 25.8% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 26.5% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Palestino - Bolívar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.7)
    3.97
    (3.62)
    4
    (4.85)
    6.7%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Palestino - Bolívar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 50%). Bolívar (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Palestino will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
    • Palestino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bolívar is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Palestino is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Bolívar were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Bolívar - Palestino 3:0
    28.05.2024 Bolívar - Palestino 3:1
    04.04.2024 Palestino - Bolívar 0:4
    Latest results of Palestino
    Latest results of Bolívar
    16.07.2025 Bolívar - Palestino 3:0
    03.07.2025 Blooming - Bolívar Postponed
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Palestino - Bolívar?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    italyItalyComo TV
    malaysiaMalaysiaMola
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South
    spainSpainLaLiga+
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
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    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
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