Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/03/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Capital One Arena (Washington, DC).

USA: NHL

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
40	37
Shots off Goal
13	20
Shooting PCT
10% (4/40)	10.81% (4/37)
Blocked Shots
14	28
Goalkeeper Saves
33	36
Saves PCT
89.19% (33/37)	90% (36/40)
Penalties
8	5
PIM
19	13
Power-play Goals
1	2
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)	25% (2/8)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (6/8)	80% (4/5)
Hits
10	21
Faceoffs Won
30	40
Faceoffs %
42.86	57.14
Giveaways
21	15
Takeaways
5	3
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:41, 1 - 0, McMichael C. (G), Fehervary M. (A), Dubois P. (A2)
01:41, (2 min),
02:20, Strome D. (2 min),
03:34, 2 - 0, Dubois P. (G), McMichael C. (A), Sandin R. (A2)
10:05, Batherson D. (2 min),
13:57, Eller L. (2 min),
19:29, Tkachuk B. (5 min),
19:29, Wilson T. (5 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:13, Ovechkin A. (2 min),
05:58, (2 min),
06:53, 3 - 0, Wilson T. (G), Dubois P. (A), Strome D. (A2)
12:18, 3 - 1, Pinto S. (G), Sanderson J. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
14:55, Jensen N. (2 min),
19:38, Raddysh T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
01:05, 3 - 2, Giroux C. (G), Sanderson J. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
08:01, 3 - 3, Pinto S. (G), Amadio M. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
10:29, Protas A. (2 min),
12:43, 4 - 3, Fehervary M. (G), Wilson T. (A), Protas A. (A2)
18:23, Dubois P. (2 min),
18:52, 4 - 4, Tkachuk B. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
01:49, (2 min),
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Dubois P. (Penalty Shot),
1, Batherson D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Carlson J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Stutzle T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Strome D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Giroux C. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Washington Capitals
46%

Draw
22.2%

Ottawa Senators
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

19.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

19.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Washington Capitals's form might have worsened.

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Washington Capitals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.75)	4.31 ↓ (4.85)	2.97 ↓ (3.75)	5.4% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 47.7% – 95.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Washington won 2.
Recent matches Washington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ottawa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ottawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Washington have a series of home games.
Washington will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Washington: Backstrom N. (Hip Injury) Milano S. (Upper-Body Injury) Oshie T.J. (Back Injury)
There will not play in Ottawa: Bernard-Docker J. (Ankle Injury) Cousins N. (Knee Injury) Kleven T. (Lower-Body Injury) MacEwen Z. (Personal Reasons)
There are questionable in Ottawa: Sanderson J. (Neck Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Washington won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 71:58 (average 3.6:2.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Washington won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36:23 (average 4:2.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Washington Capitals won against Ottawa Senators?

Washington Capitals has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ottawa Senators won against Washington Capitals?

Ottawa Senators has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators were as follows:

30.01.2025 Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals 5:4

16.01.2025 Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals 0:1

07.04.2024 Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators 2:3

26.02.2024 Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators 6:3

18.10.2023 Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals 6:1

Latest results of Washington Capitals

01.03.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3 ✺

27.02.2025 Washington Capitals - St. Louis Blues 2:5 ✺

25.02.2025 Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames 1:3 ✺

23.02.2025 Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers 7:3 ✺

22.02.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals 3:8 ✺

Latest results of Ottawa Senators

01.03.2025 Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks 5:3 ✺

26.02.2025 Ottawa Senators - Winnipeg Jets 1:4 ✺

22.02.2025 Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens 2:5 ✺

08.02.2025 Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators 5:1 ✺

06.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators 5:1 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Anaheim Ducks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Winnipeg Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Calgary Flames	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Chicago Blackhawks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Colorado Avalanche	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Dallas Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Edmonton Oilers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Los Angeles Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Minnesota Wild	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Nashville Predators	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	San Jose Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	St. Louis Blues	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Vancouver Canucks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Vegas Golden Knights	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Seattle Kraken	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Utah Mammoth	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Detroit Red Wings	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Pittsburgh Penguins	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Boston Bruins	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Buffalo Sabres	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Carolina Hurricanes	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Columbus Blue Jackets	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Florida Panthers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Montreal Canadiens	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	New Jersey Devils	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	New York Islanders	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Ottawa Senators	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Philadelphia Flyers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Tampa Bay Lightning	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Toronto Maple Leafs	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Washington Capitals	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	New York Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay