Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals
Result
3:1
03/10/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3020
Shots off target
1722
Shooting PCT
10% (3/30)5% (1/20)
Blocked shots
1418
Goalkeeper Saves
1927
Saves PCT
95% (19/20)93.1% (27/29)
Penalties
57
PIM
1325
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/7)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (7/7)
Hits
3024
Faceoffs Won
2818
Faceoffs %
60.8739.13
Giveaways
2012
Takeaways
53
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:26, 1 - 0, D'Astous C. (G), Hagel B. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
  • 08:35, Sourdif J. (2 min),
  • 16:30, 2 - 0, Geekie C. (G), Hagel B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 18:02, McDonagh R. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 02:43, Protas A. (2 min),
  • 07:04, 2 - 1, Sourdif J. (G), Chychrun J. (A), Jenner B. (A2)
  • 13:54, Lilleberg E. (5 min),
  • 13:54, Desharnais V. (5 min),
  • 14:56, Holmberg P. (2 min),
  • 14:56, Chychrun J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 00:32, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
  • 00:32, Wilson T. (2 min),
  • 08:57, Point B. (2 min),
  • 12:56, Fehervary M. (2 min),
  • 17:55, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Carlson J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
51.6%
Draw
21.7%
Washington Capitals
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 22.2% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
  • Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Washington Capitals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84 ↓
    (2.19)
    4.37 ↑
    (4.26)
    3.51 ↑
    (2.73)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals?
    • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Washington will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • DNB - Tampa Bay (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • EH +1 - Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Tampa Bay (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - Tampa Bay (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • In recent outings, Tampa Bay has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
    • Washington shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
    • Tampa Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
    • A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tampa Bay holding a narrow advantage.
    • Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y. (Hip Injury) James D. (Broken Hand).
    • Confirmed absences for Washington: Sandin R. (Knee Injury).
    • In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:60 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).
    • Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 35:31 goals (averaging 3.5:3.1 per game).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5
    08.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:2
    14.10.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    01.03.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3
    27.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 4:5
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Vegas Golden Knights5310121:138
    2Edmonton Oilers4301022:167
    3Winnipeg Jets5301113:157
    4Colorado Avalanche4300123:116
    5Anaheim Ducks4210114:116
    6San Jose Sharks4030112:146
    7Seattle Kraken5300221:146
    8Utah Mammoth5300218:146
    9Minnesota Wild4201111:85
    10Nashville Predators4201112:115
    11Dallas Stars4200210:64
    12Vancouver Canucks5110321:254
    13St. Louis Blues410129:133
    14Chicago Blackhawks5100410:212
    15Los Angeles Kings300129:151
    16Calgary Flames400046:230


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Boston Bruins6310220:138
    2New York Rangers6400217:118
    3Carolina Hurricanes5211118:147
    4Tampa Bay Lightning4300111:96
    5Ottawa Senators4300112:96
    6Washington Capitals4300114:96
    7Florida Panthers411208:86
    8Pittsburgh Penguins5111220:165
    9Toronto Maple Leafs5111214:155
    10Columbus Blue Jackets3110110:94
    11New York Islanders4200213:84
    12Buffalo Sabres4110210:154
    13Montreal Canadiens4101214:193
    14New Jersey Devils301026:132
    15Detroit Red Wings4100310:142
    16Philadelphia Flyers600247:242

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