Orlando City vs Portland Timbers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - Portland Timbers
Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Orlando City - Portland Timbers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.22
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Long passes
44% (16/36)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
77% (98/128)86% (160/185)
Crosses
0% (0/5)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.59
Throw-ins
811
Fouls
148
Tackles
47% (9/19)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.221.79
Goals prevented
0.220.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, McGuire D. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moreno S. , Antony ,
  • 66', Antony 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez O. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 67', Fory J. , Bravo C. ,
  • 67', Muriel L. , Ojeda M. ,
  • 68', McGuire D. , Enrique R. ,
  • 74', Angulo I. 🟨,
  • 74', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 78', Araujo C. , Gerbet J. ,
  • 78', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 86', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 90+3', Zuparic D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jansson R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
59%
Draw
21.7%
Portland Timbers
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 25.9% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 25.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando City - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.28)
    4.36
    (3.64)
    4.84
    (2.89)
    5.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Portland Timbers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1.
    • Orlando City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Kelsy K. (Inactive) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Chara D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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