Orlando City vs Portland Timbers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - Portland Timbers
Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Orlando City - Portland Timbers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.22
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Long passes
44% (16/36)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
77% (98/128)86% (160/185)
Crosses
0% (0/5)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.59
Throw-ins
811
Fouls
148
Tackles
47% (9/19)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.221.79
Goals prevented
0.220.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, McGuire D. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moreno S. , Antony ,
  • 66', Antony 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez O. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 67', Fory J. , Bravo C. ,
  • 67', Muriel L. , Ojeda M. ,
  • 68', McGuire D. , Enrique R. ,
  • 74', Angulo I. 🟨,
  • 74', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 78', Araujo C. , Gerbet J. ,
  • 78', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 86', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 90+3', Zuparic D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jansson R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
59%
Draw
21.7%
Portland Timbers
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 25.9% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 25.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando City - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.28)
    4.36
    (3.64)
    4.84
    (2.89)
    5.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Portland Timbers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1.
    • Orlando City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Kelsy K. (Inactive) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Chara D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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