Orlando City vs New York City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS
Soccer MLS Orlando City - New York City
Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Orlando City - New York City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.50
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
117
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Long passes
38% (18/47)57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
78% (113/144)74% (87/117)
Crosses
31% (4/13)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.07
Throw-ins
1110
Fouls
1110
Tackles
100% (8/8)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3832
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.502.04
Goals prevented
0.501.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Jansson R. ⚽, Brekalo D. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 39', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
  • 46', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
  • 60', Araujo C. 🟨,
  • 64', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
  • 70', Moralez M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
  • 74', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
  • 74', Pasalic M. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
  • 84', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
  • 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 85', O'Neill A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
  • 86', Wolf H. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
54.9%		Draw
24.1%		New York City
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 23.2% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 22.7% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
    •

    Orlando City - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.73 ↑
    (1.66)    		 3.93 ↓
    (4.12)    		 4.5 ↓
    (4.91)    		 5.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York City were as follows:
    08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1
    20.07.2024 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    28.06.2024 New York City - Orlando City 4:2
    20.09.2023 New York City - Orlando City 2:0
    17.05.2023 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    12.07.2025 Orlando City - CF Montréal 1:1 ✺
    05.07.2025 Charlotte - Orlando City 2:2 ✺
    28.06.2025 Orlando City - Cincinnati 1:2 ✺
    25.06.2025 St. Louis City - Orlando City 2:4 ✺
    14.06.2025 Colorado Rapids - Orlando City 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of New York City
    12.07.2025 Charlotte - New York City 2:0 ✺
    03.07.2025 New York City - Toronto FC 3:1 ✺
    28.06.2025 CF Montréal - New York City 1:0 ✺
    12.06.2025 New York City - Atlanta United 4:0 ✺
    31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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