Orlando City vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer MLS Orlando City - Cincinnati
Result
1:2
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Orlando City - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.55
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (468/529)81% (301/371)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.760.70
Total shots
179
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
88% (468/529)81% (301/371)
Long passes
45% (14/31)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
85% (153/180)70% (74/105)
Crosses
30% (7/23)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.000.44
Throw-ins
148
Fouls
1213
Tackles
70% (14/20)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4261
Clearances
736
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.700.76
Goals prevented
-1.30-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 45', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 45', Pasalic M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Evander ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Angulo I. , Muriel L. ,
  • 54', Enrique R. 🟨,
  • 61', Valenzuela G. , Kamara K. ,
  • 70', Schlegel R. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Evander , Denkey K. (A),
  • 80', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 80', Thorhallsson D. , Smith K. ,
  • 83', Hadebe T. , Powell A. ,
  • 83', Evander , Baird C. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Pasalic M. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 90', Ojeda M. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Brekalo D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orlando City
49%
Draw
25.3%
Cincinnati
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.6% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Orlando City - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.19)
    3.72
    (3.32)
    3.64
    (3.38)
    5.3%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.61%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Orlando City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Kann A. (Hip Injury) Robinson M. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Cincinnati were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Cincinnati - Orlando City 1:3
    04.05.2024 Orlando City - Cincinnati 0:1
    02.09.2023 Cincinnati - Orlando City 0:1
    04.03.2023 Orlando City - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orlando City - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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