Result
1:2
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (468/529) | 81% (301/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (468/529) | 81% (301/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (153/180) | 70% (74/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', Flores G. 🟨,
- 45', Yedlin D. 🟨,
- 45', Pasalic M. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Angulo I. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 54', Enrique R. 🟨,
- 61', Valenzuela G. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 70', Schlegel R. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
- 74', 0 - 2, Evander ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
- 80', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 80', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 83', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 83', Evander ↓, Baird C. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Pasalic M. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
- 90', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Brekalo D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orlando City
49% | Draw
25.3% | Cincinnati
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Orlando City - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.19) |
3.72 ↑
(3.32) |
3.64 ↑
(3.38) |
5.3%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Orlando City might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Freeman A.
(International duty)
McGuire D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N.
(Ribs Injury)
Kann A.
(Hip Injury)
Robinson M.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Cincinnati?
Orlando City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Orlando City?
Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Cincinnati were as follows:
05.10.2024
Cincinnati
-
Orlando City
1:3
04.05.2024
Orlando City
-
Cincinnati
0:1
02.09.2023
Cincinnati
-
Orlando City
0:1
04.03.2023
Orlando City
-
Cincinnati
0:0
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 41:25 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 34 |
| 4 | Portland Timbers | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:27 | 1 | 30 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | San Jose Earthquakes | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 40:32 | 8 | 27 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Austin FC | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25:31 | -6 | 23 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26:35 | -9 | 21 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 31:37 | -6 | 20 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 9 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 31:26 | 5 | 39 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 33:26 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 37:26 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 36:27 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Charlotte | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 24 |
| 12 | DC United | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 17 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:36 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Orlando City - Cincinnati?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
