Orlando City vs Charlotte: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - Charlotte
Result
3:1
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
Orlando City - Charlotte - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.06
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
90% (489/541)88% (468/533)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.44
Total shots
118
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
2526
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
77
Passes
90% (489/541)88% (468/533)
Long passes
58% (21/36)63% (32/51)
Passes in final third
77% (88/114)78% (156/199)
Crosses
20% (2/10)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.54
Throw-ins
1413
Fouls
77
Tackles
64% (7/11)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3732
Clearances
2210
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.440.99
Goals prevented
-0.56-2.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Muriel L. , Araujo C. (A), Brekalo D. (A2)
  • 24', 2 - 0, Ojeda M. ,
  • 27', Zaha W. 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 1, Zaha W. , Westwood A. (A), Toklomati I. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Toklomati I. , Agyemang P. ,
  • 58', Araujo C. 🟨,
  • 67', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 69', Marshall-Rutty J. , Calderon Vargas K. A. ,
  • 69', Abada L. , Scardina N. ,
  • 73', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 73', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 80', Gerbet J. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Enrique R. , Brekalo D. (A),
  • 83', Biel P. , Williamson E. ,
  • 83', Bronico B. , Diani D. ,
  • 88', Ojeda M. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 88', Schlegel R. , Ellis J. ,

Chances of winning


Orlando City
53.8%
Draw
24.2%
Charlotte
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 25.5% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 25.2% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando City - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.07)
    3.94
    (3.73)
    4.36
    (3.32)
    4.5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (36 of 39 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.95%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3.
    • Orlando City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charlotte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Orlando City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Berchimas N. (Foot Injury) Byrne N. (Neck Injury) Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury) Forbes J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Loyola F. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Smalls T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Charlotte were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:1
    01.11.2024 Charlotte - Orlando City 1:0
    27.10.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:0
    18.09.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:0
    19.06.2024 Charlotte - Orlando City 2:2
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Charlotte
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps16105130:121835
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Portland Timbers1785427:23429
    5Los Angeles FC1675430:23726
    6Seattle Sounders1875625:25026
    7Austin FC1865713:20-723
    8San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    9Colorado Rapids1764718:24-622
    10Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1744926:31-516
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1735914:23-914
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9Chicago Fire1674535:29625
    10New York City1774620:20025
    11New England Revolution1565419:14523
    12DC United1846817:36-1918
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orlando City - Charlotte?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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