Atlanta United vs Orlando City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Orlando City
Result
3:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Atlanta United - Orlando City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.91
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
89% (485/547)84% (321/381)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.29
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
412
Passes
89% (485/547)84% (321/381)
Long passes
67% (26/39)56% (35/62)
Passes in final third
83% (192/230)67% (66/98)
Crosses
22% (7/32)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.27
Throw-ins
218
Fouls
124
Tackles
78% (7/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
2644
Clearances
1849
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.291.69
Goals prevented
-0.71-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Araujo C. , Pasalic M. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 19', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Enrique R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 68', Edwards M. , Klich M. ,
  • 68', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 68', Hernandez R. , Amador P. ,
  • 73', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 73', Pasalic M. , Muriel L. ,
  • 73', Ojeda M. , Atuesta E. ,
  • 77', Araujo C. 🟥,
  • 79', Klich M. 🟨,
  • 80', Enrique R. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 82', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 82', Abram L. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Slisz B. , Miranchuk Al. (A),
  • 90+1', Atuesta E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gallese P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Thiare J. , Lobjanidze S. (A), Miranchuk Al. (A2)
  • 90+7', Lobjanidze S. , Cobb N. ,
  • 90+7', Schlegel R. , McGuire D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
32.3%
Draw
25.7%
Orlando City
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26.2% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 26.6% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta United - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.48)
    3.72
    (3.55)
    2.29
    (2.58)
    4.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Atlanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orlando City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orlando City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Lennon B. (Hamstring Injury) Muyumba T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Caraballo G. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Orlando City were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Orlando City - Atlanta United 3:0
    24.11.2024 Orlando City - Atlanta United 1:0
    19.10.2024 Orlando City - Atlanta United 1:2
    17.03.2024 Atlanta United - Orlando City 2:0
    15.07.2023 Atlanta United - Orlando City 1:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlanta United - Orlando City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
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