Atlanta United vs Orlando City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Orlando City
Result
3:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Atlanta United - Orlando City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.91
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
89% (485/547)84% (321/381)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.29
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
412
Passes
89% (485/547)84% (321/381)
Long passes
67% (26/39)56% (35/62)
Passes in final third
83% (192/230)67% (66/98)
Crosses
22% (7/32)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.27
Throw-ins
218
Fouls
124
Tackles
78% (7/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
2644
Clearances
1849
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.291.69
Goals prevented
-0.71-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Araujo C. , Pasalic M. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 19', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Enrique R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 68', Edwards M. , Klich M. ,
  • 68', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 68', Hernandez R. , Amador P. ,
  • 73', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 73', Pasalic M. , Muriel L. ,
  • 73', Ojeda M. , Atuesta E. ,
  • 77', Araujo C. 🟥,
  • 79', Klich M. 🟨,
  • 80', Enrique R. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 82', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 82', Abram L. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Slisz B. , Miranchuk Al. (A),
  • 90+1', Atuesta E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gallese P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Thiare J. , Lobjanidze S. (A), Miranchuk Al. (A2)
  • 90+7', Lobjanidze S. , Cobb N. ,
  • 90+7', Schlegel R. , McGuire D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
32.3%
Draw
25.7%
Orlando City
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26.2% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 26.6% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta United - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.48)
    3.72
    (3.55)
    2.29
    (2.58)
    4.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Atlanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orlando City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orlando City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Lennon B. (Hamstring Injury) Muyumba T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Caraballo G. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Orlando City were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Orlando City - Atlanta United 3:0
    24.11.2024 Orlando City - Atlanta United 1:0
    19.10.2024 Orlando City - Atlanta United 1:2
    17.03.2024 Atlanta United - Orlando City 2:0
    15.07.2023 Atlanta United - Orlando City 1:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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