Result
5:2
23/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 2
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.89 | 0.98 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
91% (539/590) | 88% (333/379) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.89 | 0.98 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.47 | 1.37 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
91% (539/590) | 88% (333/379) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (18/34) | 38% (15/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (89/126) | 60% (33/55) |
Crosses |
---|
42% (5/12) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.81 | 1.03 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 24 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
3 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.37 | 2.47 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.63 | -2.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
- 24', 2 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
- 28', 2 - 1, Kebbal I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 58', 2 - 2, Simon M. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
- 63', Weah T. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 64', Simon M. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 64', Geubbels W. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
- 69', Camara A. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Nadir B. (A),
- 74', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 2, Hojbjerg P. ⚽, Nadir B. (A),
- 83', Marchetti V. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
- 83', Sangui N. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 85', Greenwood M. (Pen),
- 88', Vaz R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Garcia U. ↓, Cornelius D. ↑,
- 90+1', Gouiri A. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
- 90+6', 5 - 2, Vaz R. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille 66.7% | Draw 19.6% | Paris FC 13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Olympique Marseille - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↑ (1.41) |
4.83 ↑ (4.58) |
7.04 ↓ (7.15) |
5.1% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 34 - 89.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 79.8% – 99.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Marseille is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Harit A.
(Inactive)
Kondogbia G.
(Inactive)
Medina F.
(Injury)
Paixao I.
(Muscle Injury)
Rabiot A.
(Coach's decision)
Rowe J.
(Coach's decision)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Paris FC?
Olympique Marseille has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Olympique Marseille?
Paris FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Paris FC were as follows:
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Toulouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
5 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
8 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Olympique Marseille - Paris FC?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Albania | SuperSport 5 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |