Lyon vs Olympique Marseille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lyon - Olympique Marseille
Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Lyon - Olympique Marseille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.77
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
86% (372/432)79% (252/320)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.45
Total shots
175
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
86% (372/432)79% (252/320)
Long passes
59% (26/44)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
83% (128/155)57% (41/72)
Crosses
25% (8/32)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.37
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1611
Tackles
71% (5/7)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.450.55
Goals prevented
0.450.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Abner Vinicius 🟨,
  • 29', Egan-Riley C. 🟥,
  • 34', Nadir B. , Cornelius D. ,
  • 41', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Greenwood M. , Garcia U. ,
  • 53', Fofana M. , Tagliafico N. ,
  • 71', Merah K. , Sulc P. ,
  • 71', Abner Vinicius , Moreira A. ,
  • 73', Weah T. , Lirola P. ,
  • 81', Sulc P. 🟨,
  • 85', Traore H. J. , Bakola D. ,
  • 85', Aubameyang P. , Vaz R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Balerdi L. (Own goal),
  • 90+2', Karabec A. , Kluivert R. ,
  • 90+4', Murillo M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lyon
33.9%
Draw
26.7%
Olympique Marseille
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 25.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 25.8% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Lyon - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.5)
    3.6
    (3.6)
    2.42
    (2.5)
    4.7%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lyon - Olympique Marseille?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Marseille (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
    • Lyon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Marseille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G. (Inactive) Medina F. (Injury) Paixao I. (Muscle Injury) Rabiot A. (Coach's decision)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:2
    22.09.2024 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 2:3
    04.02.2024 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    06.12.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:0
    23.04.2023 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    Latest results of Lyon
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0
    16.08.2025 Lens - Lyon 0:1
    09.08.2025 Lyon - Getafe 2:1
    02.08.2025 Bayern Munich - Lyon 2:1
    30.07.2025 Mallorca - Lyon 0:4
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marseille750215:51015
    2PSG650112:4815
    3Lyon65018:3515
    4Lens741210:6413
    5Monaco640214:10412
    6Strasbourg64029:7212
    7Lille631213:9410
    8Paris FC731312:13-110
    9Rennes62317:8-19
    10Brest722311:1108
    11Toulouse62139:11-27
    12Nice62137:10-37
    13Lorient72149:16-77
    14Nantes71335:7-26
    15Auxerre72055:10-56
    16Le Havre61236:8-25
    17Angers61233:6-35
    18Metz70255:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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