Peñarol de Montevideo vs Olimpia Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
49.8%
Draw
27.6%
Olimpia Asuncion
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27.3% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 26.4% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.72)
    3.41
    (3.4)
    4.21
    (5)
    5.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Peñarol is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Olimpia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Peñarol: Avenatti F. (Muscle Injury) Darias E. (Knee Injury) Olase T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Olimpia: Barreto Viera O. J. (Inactive) Franco Zayas A. F. (Injury) Gonzalez D. (Yellow Cards) Ortiz R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Olimpia: Olmedo C. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:0
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. De Chile53118:5310
    2Estudiantes L.P43017:259
    3Botafogo RJ42024:316
    4Carabobo50142:11-91


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42206:428
    2Ind. del Valle41214:405
    3Barcelona SC41123:4-14
    4U. de Deportes41122:3-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba53207:4311
    2LDU Quito42205:238
    3Flamengo RJ41213:305
    4Dep. Tachira50054:10-60


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo ✔ 43107:2510
    2Libertad Asuncion42113:217
    3Alianza Lima41125:7-24
    4Talleres Cordoba40132:6-41


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fortaleza52218:448
    2Racing Club42119:367
    3Bucaramanga51316:9-36
    4Colo Colo40224:11-72


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bahia42114:407
    2Atl. Nacional42026:516
    3Internacional41218:715
    4Nacional41126:8-24


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras44009:4512
    2Cerro Porteno52127:707
    3Sporting Cristal51136:10-44
    4Bolivar41038:9-13


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield42118:447
    2Penarol42116:247
    3SA Bulo Bulo42025:8-36
    4Olimpia Asuncion40223:8-52

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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