Ñublense vs Universidad de Chile: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Ñublense - Universidad de Chile
Result
2:2
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 16
  • Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Ñublense - Universidad de Chile - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.14
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
73% (224/307)79% (353/446)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.591.60
Total shots
911
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1519
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
73% (224/307)79% (353/446)
Long passes
46% (24/52)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
60% (50/84)66% (85/128)
Crosses
25% (3/12)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.12
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1210
Tackles
67% (14/21)86% (12/14)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
3113
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.600.59
Goals prevented
0.60-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Rubio P. 🟨,
  • 31', Calderon F. 🟨,
  • 42', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Guerrero Pena M. G. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez M. , Valencia E. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Plaza M. , Campusano J. (A),
  • 65', Contreras R. , Di Yorio L. ,
  • 65', Poblete Zuniga I. E. , Guerra N. ,
  • 74', Sepulveda M. , Salomoni F. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Salomoni F. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Calderon P. (Own goal),
  • 83', Sosa G. , Graciani G. ,
  • 83', Mateos F. , Saavedra D. ,
  • 86', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
  • 87', Assadi L. , Montes G. ,
  • 88', Reyes L. , Sanchez P. ,
  • 88', Bosso Torres O. , Labrin C. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Rubio P. ,
  • 90+5', Guerra N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ñublense
26.6%
Draw
27.8%
Universidad de Chile
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 27.4% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 29.8% 55.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.
  • Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Chile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ñublense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Chile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ñublense - Universidad de Chile Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (4.34)
    3.38
    (3.4)
    2.1
    (1.83)
    5.6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ñublense - Universidad de Chile?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Ñublense (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Universidad de Chile will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 0.
    • Ñublense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Universidad de Chile is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Universidad de Chile might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Universidad de Chile - Ñublense 5:0
    20.11.2024 Universidad de Chile - Ñublense 1:0
    03.11.2024 Ñublense - Universidad de Chile 1:4
    26.05.2024 Universidad de Chile - Ñublense 0:0
    09.12.2023 Universidad de Chile - Ñublense 3:1
    Latest results of Ñublense
    16.07.2025 Huachipato - Ñublense 2:1
    13.07.2025 Ñublense - Huachipato 2:2
    22.06.2025 Cobresal - Ñublense 1:1
    15.06.2025 Ñublense - Audax Italiano 2:3
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo22165134:112353
    2Palestino21116428:171139
    3U. De Chile21122744:222238
    4O'Higgins22108427:25238
    5A. Italiano22114735:30537
    6U. Catolica21106533:221136
    7Cobresal2195725:23232
    8Colo Colo2287732:26631
    9Huachipato2294932:31131
    10Nublense2178622:26-429
    11Union La Calera22651118:24-623
    12Everton2157924:31-722
    13La Serena22541325:41-1619
    14Limache22461225:34-918
    15U. Espanola22521521:40-1917
    16Deportes Iquique22351423:45-2214

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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