Tranmere Rovers vs Notts County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Tranmere Rovers - Notts County
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
Tranmere Rovers - Notts County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.77
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
71% (273/385)74% (303/409)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.24
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
710
Passes
71% (273/385)74% (303/409)
Long passes
44% (33/75)23% (16/70)
Passes in final third
55% (77/141)50% (48/96)
Crosses
36% (9/25)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.62
Throw-ins
3824
Fouls
108
Tackles
53% (8/15)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
3841
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.240.44
Goals prevented
0.24-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Smallwood R. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Patrick O. , Whitaker C. (A),
  • 45+2', Jones J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Bristow E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Cotter B. , Gordon K. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Dennis M. , Iorpenda T. (A),
  • 59', Iorpenda T. , Jatta A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Gordon K. ,
  • 68', Bristow E. , Harris T. ,
  • 68', Davison J. , Jennings C. ,
  • 69', Harris T. 🟨,
  • 73', O'Connor L. 🟨,
  • 74', Kenneh N. , Blacker B. ,
  • 77', Jones J. , Grant C. ,
  • 84', Whitaker C. , Joseph J. ,
  • 84', Smallwood R. , Lowe J. ,
  • 87', Roos K. 🟨,
  • 90+7', McGee L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tranmere Rovers
41.2%
Draw
29.5%
Notts County
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 29.7% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 28.3% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Tranmere Rovers - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.3)
    3.18
    (3.15)
    3.17
    (3.18)
    6.9%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
    • Recent performances by Tranmere have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Notts County is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tranmere will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Finley S. (Suspended) Williams J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Notts County: Jatta A. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Inactive) Luker J. (Injury) Ness L. (Inactive) Traore M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Notts County were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    10.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 0:0
    01.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 4:2
    26.08.2023 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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