Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Nottingham Forest - Chelsea
Result
0:3
18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
Nottingham Forest - Chelsea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.65
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
82% (350/426)85% (386/452)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.551.51
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2120
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
82% (350/426)85% (386/452)
Long passes
34% (15/44)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
67% (80/120)72% (71/98)
Crosses
23% (5/22)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.331.17
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
1316
Tackles
44% (8/18)38% (5/13)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
1519
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
13
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.510.55
Goals prevented
-1.490.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Morato 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Lavia R. , Caicedo M. ,
  • 46', Garnacho A. , Gittens J. ,
  • 46', Andrey Santos , Guiu M. ,
  • 46', Awoniyi T. , Igor Jesus ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Acheampong J. , Neto P. (A),
  • 52', 0 - 2, Neto P. , James R. (A),
  • 53', Douglas Luiz , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 54', Gusto M. 🟨,
  • 74', Zinchenko O. , Wood Ch. ,
  • 74', Murillo , Savona N. ,
  • 78', Neto P. , Estêvão ,
  • 80', Sangare I. 🟨,
  • 81', Acheampong J. , Adarabioyo T. ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, James R. ,
  • 87', Gusto M. 🟨,
  • 89', Estêvão 🟨,
  • 90+4', Sanchez R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
28.5%
Draw
27.9%
Chelsea
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 24.9% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 25.2% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Nottingham Forest - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.6)
    3.48
    (3.84)
    2.22
    (1.97)
    2.6%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Chelsea?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DC - Nottingham (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (114 of 140 users predict this - 81.43%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.99%87.87%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (20 of 26 users predict this - 76.92%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1.
    • Nottingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chelsea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chelsea might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Zinchenko O. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Chelsea were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 0:1
    06.10.2024 Chelsea - Nottingham Forest 1:1
    11.05.2024 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 2:3
    02.09.2023 Chelsea - Nottingham Forest 0:1
    13.05.2023 Chelsea - Nottingham Forest 2:2
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Latest results of Chelsea
    04.10.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 2:1
    30.09.2025 Chelsea - Benfica 1:0
    23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal861115:31219
    2Manchester City851217:61116
    3Liverpool750213:9415
    4Bournemouth843114:11315
    5Tottenham742113:5814
    6Chelsea842216:9714
    7Sunderland84229:6314
    8Crystal Palace834112:8413
    9Brighton833212:11112
    10Everton83239:9011
    11Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    12Newcastle82337:709
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham82248:12-48
    15Leeds82247:13-68
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Burnley82159:15-67
    18Nottingham81255:15-105
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves80265:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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