Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

City Ground (Nottingham).

: Premier League - Round 38
Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.35	1.07
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
84% (353/419)	80% (325/405)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.14	1.09
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
28	9
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
84% (353/419)	80% (325/405)
Long passes
46% (23/50)	25% (13/51)
Passes in final third
70% (94/134)	63% (81/128)
Crosses
21% (7/33)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.65
Throw-ins
25	17
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
64% (9/14)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
36	39
Clearances
22	36
Interceptions
4	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.09	0.14
Goals prevented
0.09	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Anderson E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Colwill L. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
56', Caicedo M. 🟨,
57', Sangare I. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
61', Sancho J. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
68', Dominguez N. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
78', Neto P. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
79', Aina O. 🟨,
79', Adarabioyo T. 🟨,
83', Aina O. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
86', Madueke N. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Nottingham Forest
28.5%

Draw
25.4%

Chelsea
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Nottingham Forest - Chelsea Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.31)	3.79 ↑ (3.67)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)	4% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Chelsea?

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Chelsea will win (votes: 22 - 59.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 43.7% – 75.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Nottingham (votes: 9 - 100%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nottingham Forest will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1.
In recent matches, Nottingham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chelsea is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Chelsea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chelsea could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Nottingham: Awoniyi T. (Surgery)
There will not play in Chelsea: Anselmino A. (Thigh Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Jackson N. (Red Card) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Ankle Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Chelsea?

Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Nottingham Forest?

Chelsea has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Chelsea were as follows:

06.10.2024 Chelsea - Nottingham Forest 1:1

11.05.2024 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 2:3

02.09.2023 Chelsea - Nottingham Forest 0:1

13.05.2023 Chelsea - Nottingham Forest 2:2

01.01.2023 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 1:1

Latest results of Nottingham Forest

18.05.2025 West Ham United - Nottingham Forest 1:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Nottingham Forest - Leicester City 2:2 ✺

05.05.2025 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Nottingham Forest - Brentford 0:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Chelsea

16.05.2025 Chelsea - Manchester United 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:0 ✺

08.05.2025 Chelsea - Djurgården 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Djurgården - Chelsea 1:4 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Nottingham Forest - Chelsea?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Meraj TV
Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Action
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	Canal+ Live 9
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	MAX
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
Peru	Disney+
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN 6
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 4
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ CINE, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON