Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 31
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.20
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (369/433)85% (321/378)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.740.77
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
614
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2919
Through passes
67% (2/3)33% (1/3)
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
157
Passes
85% (369/433)85% (321/378)
Long passes
48% (29/60)50% (22/44)
Passes in final third
71% (91/129)83% (90/109)
Crosses
23% (3/13)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.59
Fouls
715
Tackles
50% (7/14)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4241
Clearances Total
1123
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.772.74
Goals prevented
-0.230.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Rogers M. , Tielemans Y. (A),
  • 15', 2 - 0, Malen D. , Maatsen I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia A. , Konsa E. ,
  • 46', Elanga A. , Jota Silva ,
  • 49', Morato 🟨,
  • 51', Asensio M. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Jota Silva , Williams N. (A),
  • 62', Watkins O. , Rashford M. ,
  • 62', Malen D. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 62', Onana A. , Kamara B. ,
  • 73', Jota Silva 🟨,
  • 73', Asensio M. , McGinn J. ,
  • 74', Dominguez N. , Sosa R. ,
  • 75', Morato , Boly W. ,
  • 86', Martinez E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3m3uzz3k

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
46.6%
Draw
27.4%
Nottingham Forest
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25.7% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26.2% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.99)
    3.54
    (3.76)
    3.74
    (3.73)
    3.8%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : NBC Universo
  • What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 2.
    • During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.
    • Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Aston Villa have a series of guest games.
    • Aston Villa will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Wood Ch. (Hip Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:21 (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:10 (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa 2:1
    24.02.2024 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 4:2
    05.11.2023 Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa 2:0
    08.04.2023 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:0
    10.10.2022 Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa 1:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool ✔ 37258485:404583
    2Arsenal ✔ 371914467:333471
    3Newcastle372061168:462266
    4Chelsea37199963:432066
    5Aston Villa37199958:49966
    6Manchester City36198967:432465
    7Nottingham371981058:451365
    8Brighton371513962:58458
    9Brentford371671465:56955
    10Fulham371591354:52254
    11Bournemouth3614111155:431253
    12Crystal Palace3612131146:48-249
    13Everton3710151241:44-345
    14Wolves361251951:64-1341
    15West Ham3710101743:61-1840
    16Manchester Utd371091842:54-1239
    17Tottenham371152163:61238
    18Leicester ✔ 37672433:78-4525
    19Ipswich ✔ 374102335:79-4422
    20Southampton ✔ 37262925:84-5912

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Leicester is Relegated to Championship
    Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
    Southampton is Relegated to Championship
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