Northampton Town vs Birmingham City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Northampton Town - Birmingham City
Result
1:1
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 37
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Northampton Town - Birmingham City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.40
Ball Possession
24%76%
Goal Attempts
1413
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
85
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
14
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
711
Offsides
14
Fouls
117
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
2726
Touches in the Opposition Box
2622
Passes
48% (89/185)82% (511/624)
Passes in the final third
45% (44/97)63% (95/150)
Crosses
46% (6/13)38% (6/16)
Tackles
50% (11/22)45% (5/11)
Clearances Total
4037
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Iwata T. (Own goal),
  • 45', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Anderson K. , Klarer C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Anderson K. , Hansson E. ,
  • 69', Odimayo A. , Eyoma T. ,
  • 77', Perry B. , Hondermarck W. ,
  • 82', Willumsson W. T. , May A. ,
  • 82', Stansfield J. , Jutkiewicz L. ,
  • 85', McGowan A. , Koiki A. ,
  • 86', Sampsted A. , Bielik K. ,
  • 88', Burge L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
15.4%
Draw
24.2%
Birmingham City
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.3% 22.9% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8% 22.1% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Northampton Town - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.15
    (6.96)
    3.89
    (4.06)
    1.57
    (1.45)
    5.5%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Birmingham City?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Birmingham City will win! (5 of 5 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Birmingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.
    • In this match Birmingham is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Brough P. (Broken Leg) Eaves T. (Inactive) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Mbete L. (Hamstring Injury) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Inactive) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Inactive) Laird E. (Inactive) Wright S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Baldwin J. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Birmingham City were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Birmingham City - Northampton Town 1:1
    19.07.2023 Northampton Town - Birmingham City 0:1
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton (4)Wycombe (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Stockport County (3)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Charlton (4)Leyton Orient (6)
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